Thunder Playoff Picture: Chances, Bracket, Seed for 2026

DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 28: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 of the Oklahoma City Thunder dribbles the ball up the court in the first half of a game against the Detroit Pistons at Little Caesars Arena on January 28, 2024 in Detroit, Michigan. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement.
(Photo by Mike Mulholland/Getty Images)

After winning their first championship since moving to Oklahoma City, the Thunder will once again lead the 2026 NBA playoff picture.

Thunder Playoff Chances

The Thunder’s playoff odds are -10000, meaning they have an implied probability of 99.01% in 2025-26.

Here’s how their postseason odds compare to the Northwest Division:

  • Thunder: -10000
  • Nuggets: -10000
  • Timberwolves: -5000
  • Trail Blazers: +200
  • Jazz: +3500

Thunder Playoff Seed

If the season ended today, the Thunder would be the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference. They’d face the winner of the second play-in matchup.

Here’s the current West bracket:

Last Time the Thunder Made the Playoffs

The Thunder made the playoffs in 2024-25, securing their first championship since moving to Oklahoma City in 2008-09.

The Thunder went to Game 7 in two of their four series during the title run.

Thunder Playoff History

YearRoundOpponentResult
2024-25NBA FinalsPacersWon, 4-3
2024-25Conference FinalsTimberwolvesWon, 4-1
2024-25Conference SemifinalsNuggetsWon, 4-3
2024-25Opening RoundGrizzliesWon, 4-0
2023-24Conference SemifinalsMavericksLost, 4-2
2023-24Opening RoundPelicansWon, 4-0
2019-20Opening RoundRocketsLost, 4-3
2018-19Opening RoundTrail BlazersLost, 4-1
2017-18Opening RoundJazzLost, 4-2
2016-17Opening RoundRocketsLost, 4-1
2015-16Conference FinalsWarriorsLost, 4-3
2015-16Conference SemifinalsSpursWon, 4-2
2015-16Opening RoundMavericksWon, 4-1
2013-14Conference FinalsSpursLost, 4-2
2013-14Conference SemifinalsClippersWon, 4-2
2013-14Opening RoundGrizzliesWon, 4-3
2012-13Conference SemifinalsGrizzliesLost, 4-1
2012-13Opening RoundRocketsWon, 4-2
2011-12NBA FinalsHeatLost, 4-1
2011-12Conference FinalsSpursWon, 4-2
2011-12Conference SemifinalsLakersWon, 4-1
2011-12Opening RoundMavericksWon, 4-0
2010-11Conference FinalsMavericksLost, 4-1
2010-11Conference SemifinalsGrizzliesWon, 4-3
2010-11Opening RoundNuggetsWon, 4-1
2009-10Opening RoundLakersLost, 4-2

NBA Playoffs Odds

When the stakes increase on the court, they can increase at the online sportsbook with NBA playoff odds. From the play-in tournament through the NBA Finals, BetMGM is the premier destination for NBA betting.

If you’re new to the sportsbook, register today with BetMGM’s welcome promo. And check out updated sportsbook promos each day of the year.

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About the Author Read More @ShaneThurston25

Shane Thurston is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Thurston is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.