Thunder vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 7

• The Thunder are -11.5 favorites vs. the Kings
• Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
• Watch the game on FDOK | NSCA

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).

The Thunder vs Kings Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 4-5 against the spread, while the Kings are 4-4 against the spread.

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Thunder vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Kings vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Friday‘s game with 70.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Kings.

Kings vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 53.2% confidence.

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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 81 of their last 100 games (+24.00 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 57 of their last 95 games (+19.60 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 58 of their last 96 games (+13.90 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1H Spread in 48 of their last 78 games (+13.00 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 87 games (+12.50 Units / 13% ROI)

Kings Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 47 of their last 81 games (+9.90 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have covered the 2Q Spread in 42 of their last 70 games (+9.85 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+8.92 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 57 games (+8.70 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 38 games (+7.15 Units / 13% ROI)

Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 4-5 (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).

• 8-1 against the Moneyline (+6.35 Units / 16.49% ROI)
• 6-3 against the Over for game total points (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI)
• 3-6 against the Under for game total points (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI)

Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 4-4 (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• 3-5 against the Moneyline (-1.55 Units / -15.35% ROI)
• 6-2 against the Over for game total points (+3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI)
• 2-6 against the Under for game total points (-4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:

• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 83 games (-27.80 Units / -19% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 83 games (-27.15 Units / -15% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 81 games (-21.55 Units / -23% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 82 games (-20.08 Units / -17% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 79 games (-18.05 Units / -20% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 96 games (-27.75 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 96 games (-26.05 Units / -17% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 87 games (-21.10 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 57 games (-20.70 Units / -31% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 36 away games (-20.55 Units / -31% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
• Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
• Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Sacramento Kings
• Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
• Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
• Sacramento Kings Defensive stats

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder averaged 5.6 turnovers per game (463 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Thunder shot 39% from three (120/305) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Thunder averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (961 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Kings have a TS% of 58% in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Kings have averaged 1.20 points per shot (178 points/148 shots) in close and late situations this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.40

The Kings have averaged 6.3 turnovers per game (567 turnovers/90 games) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.2

The Kings shot 74% from the free throw line (1,274/1,710) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder averaged 5.6 turnovers per game (463 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Thunder shot 39% from three (120/305) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Thunder averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (961 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have a TS% of 58% in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Kings have averaged 1.20 points per shot (178 points/148 shots) in close and late situations this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.40

The Kings have averaged 6.3 turnovers per game (567 turnovers/90 games) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.2

The Kings shot 74% from the free throw line (1,274/1,710) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder averaged 5.6 turnovers per game (463 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Thunder shot 39% from three (120/305) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Thunder averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (961 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have a TS% of 58% in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Kings have averaged 1.20 points per shot (178 points/148 shots) in close and late situations this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.40

The Kings have averaged 6.3 turnovers per game (567 turnovers/90 games) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.2

The Kings shot 74% from the free throw line (1,274/1,710) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

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