Suns vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 28

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on FDOK | KTVK | AZFS

The Phoenix Suns visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Suns vs Thunder Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 13-6 against the spread, while the Thunder are 10-9 against the spread.

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Suns vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Thunder vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Thunder.

Thunder vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.

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Suns Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 62 games (+10.40 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+9.85 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 53% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 45 of their last 79 games (+7.69 Units / 9% ROI)

Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 82 of their last 99 games (+28.35 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 35 of their last 50 games at home (+19.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1H Spread in 54 of their last 88 games (+14.45 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+13.20 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 67 games (+13.20 Units / 17% ROI)

Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 13-6 (+6.4 Units / 30.62% ROI).

• 12-7 against the Moneyline (+6.85 Units / 27.13% ROI)
• 8-11 against the Over for game total points (-4.1 Units / -19.62% ROI)
• 11-8 against the Under for game total points (+2.2 Units / 10.53% ROI)

Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 10-9 (+0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI).

• 18-1 against the Moneyline (+16.35 Units / 11.43% ROI)
• 9-10 against the Over for game total points (-2 Units / -9.57% ROI)
• 10-9 against the Under for game total points (+0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 100 games (-30.92 Units / -19% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 97 games (-24.75 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 67 games (-23.50 Units / -30% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 4Q Spread in 43 of their last 100 games (-19.60 Units / -17% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 97 games (-17.40 Units / -16% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:

• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 31 of their last 83 games (-29.09 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 2H Spread in 31 of their last 83 games (-24.82 Units / -27% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 78 games (-18.50 Units / -17% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-18.43 Units / -20% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 3Q Spread in 38 of their last 83 games (-14.45 Units / -15% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
• Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
• Player Injuries for Phoenix Suns vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
• Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
• Phoenix Suns Defensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 3.5 (45 assists/ 13 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Thunder have averaged 11.9 turnovers per game (1,206 turnovers/101 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

The Thunder averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (961 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Suns are 5-1 (.833) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Suns are 12-4 (.750) when scoring 110 or more points this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .636

The Suns are 8-1 (.889) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .515

The Suns are 25-11 (.694) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .621

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 3.5 (45 assists/ 13 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Thunder have averaged 11.9 turnovers per game (1,206 turnovers/101 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

The Thunder averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (961 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns are 5-1 (.833) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Suns are 12-4 (.750) when scoring 110 or more points this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .636

The Suns are 8-1 (.889) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .515

The Suns are 25-11 (.694) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .621

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 3.5 (45 assists/ 13 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Thunder have averaged 11.9 turnovers per game (1,206 turnovers/101 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

The Thunder averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (961 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns are 5-1 (.833) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Suns are 12-4 (.750) when scoring 110 or more points this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .636

The Suns are 8-1 (.889) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .515

The Suns are 25-11 (.694) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .621

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