Spurs vs Nuggets Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Nov. 28

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on ALT | KENS

The San Antonio Spurs visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in Denver, CO.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Spurs vs Nuggets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 9-8 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 11-6 against the spread.


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Spurs vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs O
Denver Nuggets U

Nuggets vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Friday‘s game with 70.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 64.0% confidence.


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  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+15.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 23 away games (+14.50 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+12.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 42 games (+11.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+10.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 40 of their last 61 games (+16.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 44 games at home (+16.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 42 games (+15.39 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 71 games (+15.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 47 of their last 78 games (+14.40 Units / 8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 9-8 (+0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI).

  • 12-5 against the Moneyline (+5.55 Units / 16.28% ROI)
  • 8-9 against the Over for game total points (-1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI)
  • 9-8 against the Under for game total points (+0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 11-6 (+4.4 Units / 23.47% ROI).

  • 13-4 against the Moneyline (-2.15 Units / -3.3% ROI)
  • 10-7 against the Over for game total points (+2.33 Units / 12.48% ROI)
  • 7-10 against the Under for game total points (-4 Units / -21.32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 44 games at home (-22.50 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 72 games (-22.47 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 40 of their last 95 games (-22.10 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 72 games (-21.38 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 57 games (-20.55 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 48 games (-21.20 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 42 games (-18.15 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 62 games (-15.70 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 78 games (-15.15 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 80 games (-15.02 Units / -16% ROI)

Jump to:

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Spurs have allowed 9.9 fast break points per game (169 points/17 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.2

The Spurs averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,932 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Spurs have allowed 4.9 fast break points per game (83 points/17 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0

The Spurs have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (620 rebounds/17 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Nuggets averaged 10.7 points in the paint per game (586 points/55 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

The Nuggets averaged 58.5 points in the paint per game (4,796 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0

The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets averaged 5.5 assists per game (302 assists/55 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.2

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have allowed 9.9 fast break points per game (169 points/17 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.2

The Spurs averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,932 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Spurs have allowed 4.9 fast break points per game (83 points/17 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0

The Spurs have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (620 rebounds/17 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 10.7 points in the paint per game (586 points/55 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

The Nuggets averaged 58.5 points in the paint per game (4,796 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0

The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets averaged 5.5 assists per game (302 assists/55 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.2

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have allowed 9.9 fast break points per game (169 points/17 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.2

The Spurs averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,932 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Spurs have allowed 4.9 fast break points per game (83 points/17 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0

The Spurs have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (620 rebounds/17 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 10.7 points in the paint per game (586 points/55 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

The Nuggets averaged 58.5 points in the paint per game (4,796 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0

The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets averaged 5.5 assists per game (302 assists/55 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.