Rockets vs Mavericks Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Dec. 6

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on SCHN | KFAA

The Houston Rockets visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas, TX.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Rockets vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 14-6 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 11-13 against the spread.

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Rockets vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mavericks vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Saturday‘s game with 77.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

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Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 53 games (+16.25 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 52 of their last 83 games (+16.20 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 51 of their last 83 games (+15.62 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 43 games (+15.10 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 38 away games (+13.35 Units / 25% ROI)

Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 43 games at home (+14.15 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+12.05 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 75 games (+11.90 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 46 games (+11.55 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2H Spread in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.33 Units / 37% ROI)

Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 14-6 (+7.45 Units / 33.94% ROI).

• 15-5 against the Moneyline (+3.05 Units / 3.59% ROI)
• 11-9 against the Over for game total points (+1.13 Units / 5.14% ROI)
• 9-11 against the Under for game total points (-3.1 Units / -14.05% ROI)

Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 11-13 (-3.35 Units / -12.67% ROI).

• 8-16 against the Moneyline (-7.9 Units / -24.2% ROI)
• 9-15 against the Over for game total points (-7.5 Units / -28.41% ROI)
• 15-9 against the Under for game total points (+5.1 Units / 19.32% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:

• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 81 games (-24.05 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 55 games (-20.70 Units / -32% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 85 games (-20.60 Units / -21% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 76 games (-20.60 Units / -23% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 79 games (-20.35 Units / -20% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:

• The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 61 games (-24.85 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 61 games (-21.85 Units / -31% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 86 games (-21.72 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 43 games (-20.80 Units / -43% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 58 games (-19.40 Units / -21% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
• Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
• Player Injuries for Houston Rockets vs. Dallas Mavericks
• Houston Rockets Offensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
• Houston Rockets Defensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Rockets shot 41% (409/1,011) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Rockets have averaged 22.6 offensive rebounds per game (2,306 rebounds/102 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.3

The Rockets had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Rockets averaged 22.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,844 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

The Rockets are 14-5 (.737) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .516

The Rockets are 8-2 (.800) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .524

The Rockets are 1-17 (.056) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .242

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets shot 41% (409/1,011) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Rockets have averaged 22.6 offensive rebounds per game (2,306 rebounds/102 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.3

The Rockets had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Rockets averaged 22.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,844 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

The Rockets are 14-5 (.737) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .516

The Rockets are 8-2 (.800) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .524

The Rockets are 1-17 (.056) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .242

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets shot 41% (409/1,011) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Rockets have averaged 22.6 offensive rebounds per game (2,306 rebounds/102 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.3

The Rockets had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Rockets averaged 22.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,844 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

The Rockets are 14-5 (.737) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .516

The Rockets are 8-2 (.800) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .524

The Rockets are 1-17 (.056) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .242

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