Pistons vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 18

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on KFAA | WFAA | FDDT

The Detroit Pistons visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas, TX.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Pistons vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 15-11 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 13-14 against the spread.


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Pistons vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Detroit Pistons O
Dallas Mavericks U

Mavericks vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pistons will win Thursday‘s game with 55.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 53.9% confidence.


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  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 86 games (+20.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 55 games (+18.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 43 of their last 67 games (+17.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 1H Spread in 45 of their last 72 games (+15.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 82 games (+14.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+11.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 49 games (+10.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2H Spread in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.18 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+9.70 Units / 107% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+9.55 Units / 49% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 15-11 (+2.9 Units / 10.12% ROI).

  • 21-5 against the Moneyline (+15.55 Units / 24.24% ROI)
  • 14-12 against the Over for game total points (+0.8 Units / 2.8% ROI)
  • 12-14 against the Under for game total points (-3.4 Units / -11.89% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 13-14 (-2.45 Units / -8.24% ROI).

  • 10-17 against the Moneyline (-5.95 Units / -15.78% ROI)
  • 12-15 against the Over for game total points (-4.5 Units / -15.15% ROI)
  • 15-12 against the Under for game total points (+1.8 Units / 6.06% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 79 games (-21.80 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 84 games (-21.05 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 45 games at home (-18.55 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 82 games (-18.35 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 35 of their last 82 games (-18.05 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 82 games (-25.85 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 87 games (-24.30 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 35 of their last 87 games (-22.25 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 66 games (-20.85 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 31 of their last 71 games (-18.35 Units / -17% ROI)

Jump to:

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Pistons have averaged 9.7 steals per game (253 steals/26 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

The Pistons averaged 5.3 blocks per game (432 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pistons averaged 6.5 steals per game (531 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pistons have 253 steals this season — 5th most among NBA teams

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Pistons were 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Pistons were 4-21 (.160) when attempting 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Pistons were 2-38 (.050) when losing the rebounding margin in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357

The Pistons were 4-34 (.105) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 9.7 steals per game (253 steals/26 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

The Pistons averaged 5.3 blocks per game (432 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pistons averaged 6.5 steals per game (531 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pistons have 253 steals this season — 5th most among NBA teams

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons were 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Pistons were 4-21 (.160) when attempting 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Pistons were 2-38 (.050) when losing the rebounding margin in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357

The Pistons were 4-34 (.105) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 9.7 steals per game (253 steals/26 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

The Pistons averaged 5.3 blocks per game (432 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pistons averaged 6.5 steals per game (531 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pistons have 253 steals this season — 5th most among NBA teams

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons were 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Pistons were 4-21 (.160) when attempting 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Pistons were 2-38 (.050) when losing the rebounding margin in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357

The Pistons were 4-34 (.105) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.