- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on ALT | KTVK | AZFS
The Denver Nuggets visit Mortgage Matchup Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Phoenix, AZ.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Nuggets vs Suns Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 11-7 against the spread, while the Suns are 14-6 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Denver Nuggets | O | ||
| Phoenix Suns | U |
Suns vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Saturday‘s game with 63.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Suns.
Suns vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 54.0% confidence.
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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 40 of their last 62 games (+15.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 away games (+15.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 48 of their last 79 games (+15.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 away games (+14.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 43 games (+13.79 Units / 22% ROI)
Suns Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 games at home (+11.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+11.11 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.60 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 games at home (+9.60 Units / 18% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 11-7 (+3.3 Units / 16.62% ROI).
- 13-5 against the Moneyline (-5.05 Units / -7.43% ROI)
- 11-7 against the Over for game total points (+3.33 Units / 16.84% ROI)
- 7-11 against the Under for game total points (-5.1 Units / -25.68% ROI)
Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 14-6 (+7.4 Units / 33.64% ROI).
- 12-8 against the Moneyline (+5.85 Units / 22.29% ROI)
- 9-11 against the Over for game total points (-3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI)
- 11-9 against the Under for game total points (+1.1 Units / 5% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 31 of their last 84 games (-29.09 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 2H Spread in 32 of their last 84 games (-23.82 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 79 games (-18.50 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 84 games (-17.43 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 3Q Spread in 38 of their last 84 games (-15.50 Units / -16% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 73 games (-23.87 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 73 games (-22.43 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 96 games (-21.60 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 41 of their last 96 games (-21.10 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 97 games (-20.60 Units / -19% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Phoenix Suns
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns
The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets averaged 58.5 points in the paint per game (4,796 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0
The Nuggets have averaged 29.1 points in the paint per game (5,302 points/182 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0
The Nuggets averaged 31.0 points in the paint per game (2,540 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6
Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Suns are 12-5 (.706) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .512
The Suns are 47-28 (.627) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555
The Suns were 1-12 (.077) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .182
The Suns were 18-5 (.783) when making 15 or more three-pointers in the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets averaged 58.5 points in the paint per game (4,796 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0
The Nuggets have averaged 29.1 points in the paint per game (5,302 points/182 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0
The Nuggets averaged 31.0 points in the paint per game (2,540 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6
Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends
The Suns are 12-5 (.706) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .512
The Suns are 47-28 (.627) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555
The Suns were 1-12 (.077) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .182
The Suns were 18-5 (.783) when making 15 or more three-pointers in the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets averaged 58.5 points in the paint per game (4,796 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0
The Nuggets have averaged 29.1 points in the paint per game (5,302 points/182 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0
The Nuggets averaged 31.0 points in the paint per game (2,540 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6
Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends
The Suns are 12-5 (.706) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .512
The Suns are 47-28 (.627) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555
The Suns were 1-12 (.077) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .182
The Suns were 18-5 (.783) when making 15 or more three-pointers in the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646
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