Nuggets vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 21

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Denver Nuggets visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in Houston, TX.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Nuggets vs Rockets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 9-5 against the spread, while the Rockets are 9-4 against the spread.

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Nuggets vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rockets vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Rockets.

Rockets vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 62.3% confidence.

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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+16.40 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 81 games (+14.10 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 37 of their last 58 games (+13.90 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 45 of their last 75 games (+13.40 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 away games (+12.30 Units / 30% ROI)

Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 47 of their last 76 games (+15.05 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 36 games (+14.45 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.20 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 46 games (+13.55 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.90 Units / 33% ROI)

Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 9-5 (+3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI).

• 11-3 against the Moneyline (+0.75 Units / 1.33% ROI)
• 8-6 against the Over for game total points (+1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI)
• 6-8 against the Under for game total points (-2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI)

Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 9-4 (+4.6 Units / 32.17% ROI).

• 10-3 against the Moneyline (+4.8 Units / 9.01% ROI)
• 10-3 against the Over for game total points (+6.7 Units / 46.85% ROI)
• 3-10 against the Under for game total points (-8 Units / -55.94% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:

• The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 85 games (-21.55 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 54 games (-21.00 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 41 games at home (-20.90 Units / -20% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 84 games (-20.90 Units / -23% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 36 games (-19.30 Units / -47% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:

• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 97 games (-22.65 Units / -20% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 69 games (-22.62 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 41 of their last 97 games (-22.45 Units / -20% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 69 games (-22.30 Units / -28% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 42 of their last 97 games (-20.45 Units / -18% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
• Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
• Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Houston Rockets
• Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
• Houston Rockets Offensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
• Houston Rockets Defensive stats

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Nuggets averaged 59.4 points in the paint per game (2,434 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.7

The Nuggets have averaged 29.2 points in the paint per game (5,200 points/178 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0

The Nuggets averaged 58.5 points in the paint per game (4,796 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0

The Nuggets averaged 5.5 assists per game (302 assists/55 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.2

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Rockets shot 41% (409/1,011) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Rockets are shooting 45% from three (81/181) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Rockets averaged 18.6 second chance points per game (764 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2

The Rockets are shooting 42% from three (164/388) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 59.4 points in the paint per game (2,434 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.7

The Nuggets have averaged 29.2 points in the paint per game (5,200 points/178 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0

The Nuggets averaged 58.5 points in the paint per game (4,796 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0

The Nuggets averaged 5.5 assists per game (302 assists/55 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.2

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets shot 41% (409/1,011) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Rockets are shooting 45% from three (81/181) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Rockets averaged 18.6 second chance points per game (764 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2

The Rockets are shooting 42% from three (164/388) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 59.4 points in the paint per game (2,434 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.7

The Nuggets have averaged 29.2 points in the paint per game (5,200 points/178 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0

The Nuggets averaged 58.5 points in the paint per game (4,796 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0

The Nuggets averaged 5.5 assists per game (302 assists/55 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.2

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets shot 41% (409/1,011) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Rockets are shooting 45% from three (81/181) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Rockets averaged 18.6 second chance points per game (764 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2

The Rockets are shooting 42% from three (164/388) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

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