Nuggets vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 11

• The Nuggets are -8.5 favorites vs. the Kings
• Total (Over/Under): 243.5 points
• Watch the game on NBC | PEAC | ALT | ALT+

The Denver Nuggets visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 11:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The Nuggets vs Kings Over/Under is 243.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 6-3 against the spread, while the Kings are 4-6 against the spread.

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Nuggets vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Kings vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Tuesday‘s game with 65.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Kings.

Kings vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 52.0% confidence.

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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 63 games (+19.95 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 games (+17.50 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 36 of their last 53 games (+17.50 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 76 games (+17.10 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 42 of their last 70 games (+13.30 Units / 9% ROI)

Kings Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 49 of their last 83 games (+11.90 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+8.77 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 59 games (+8.60 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 games (+8.05 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have covered the 2Q Spread in 42 of their last 72 games (+7.40 Units / 9% ROI)

Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 6-3 (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI).

• 7-2 against the Moneyline (+3.75 Units / 10.15% ROI)
• 5-4 against the Over for game total points (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI)
• 4-5 against the Under for game total points (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI)

Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 4-6 (-2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI).

• 3-7 against the Moneyline (-3.55 Units / -29.34% ROI)
• 7-3 against the Over for game total points (+3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI)
• 3-7 against the Under for game total points (-4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:

• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 78 games (-29.40 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 83 games (-27.70 Units / -15% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 83 games (-23.80 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 42 games at home (-21.20 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 81 games (-18.25 Units / -19% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:

• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 92 games (-23.40 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 23 of their last 64 games (-23.00 Units / -31% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 64 games (-22.42 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 40 of their last 94 games (-21.20 Units / -20% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 79 games (-21.05 Units / -23% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
• Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
• Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Sacramento Kings
• Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
• Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
• Sacramento Kings Defensive stats

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets have averaged 29.3 points in the paint per game (5,068 points/173 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (278 assists/ 128 TOs) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Nuggets shot 51% (1,861/3,680) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Kings have an eFG% of 48% in the second half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Kings have made 11.6 three-pointers per game this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Kings have averaged 14.8 offensive rebounds per game (148 rebounds/10 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 18.4

The Kings have averaged 14.5 turnovers per game (145 turnovers/10 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets have averaged 29.3 points in the paint per game (5,068 points/173 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (278 assists/ 128 TOs) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Nuggets shot 51% (1,861/3,680) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have an eFG% of 48% in the second half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Kings have made 11.6 three-pointers per game this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Kings have averaged 14.8 offensive rebounds per game (148 rebounds/10 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 18.4

The Kings have averaged 14.5 turnovers per game (145 turnovers/10 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets have averaged 29.3 points in the paint per game (5,068 points/173 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (278 assists/ 128 TOs) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Nuggets shot 51% (1,861/3,680) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have an eFG% of 48% in the second half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Kings have made 11.6 three-pointers per game this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Kings have averaged 14.8 offensive rebounds per game (148 rebounds/10 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 18.4

The Kings have averaged 14.5 turnovers per game (145 turnovers/10 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3

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