Nuggets vs Kings Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Dec. 11

  • The Nuggets are -10.5 favorites vs. the Kings
  • Total (Over/Under): 239.5 points
  • Watch the game on ALT | NSCA

The Denver Nuggets visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Nuggets vs Kings Over/Under is 239.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 13-10 against the spread, while the Kings are 8-16 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets-10.5 -110O 239.5 -110-500
Sacramento Kings +10.5 -110U 239.5 -110375

Kings vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Thursday‘s game with 56.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Kings.

Kings vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 away games (+19.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 43 of their last 67 games (+16.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 48 games (+15.99 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 away games (+15.00 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 56 of their last 96 games (+12.03 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 62 games (+10.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.50 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+6.00 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 13-10 (+2 Units / 7.89% ROI).

  • 17-6 against the Moneyline (-6.25 Units / -7.42% ROI)
  • 15-8 against the Over for game total points (+6.23 Units / 24.65% ROI)
  • 8-15 against the Under for game total points (-8.5 Units / -33.52% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 8-16 (-9.6 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • 6-18 against the Moneyline (-3.7 Units / -14.18% ROI)
  • 10-14 against the Over for game total points (-5.4 Units / -20.45% ROI)
  • 14-10 against the Under for game total points (+3 Units / 11.36% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 82 games (-28.65 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 15 of their last 48 games (-23.30 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 64 games (-21.25 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 62 games (-20.30 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 48 games (-20.15 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 63 games (-25.65 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 40 of their last 97 games (-24.45 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 78 games (-24.27 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 96 games (-23.70 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 78 games (-21.68 Units / -24% ROI)

Jump to:

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings allowed 14.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,190 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.2

The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (1,282/3,308) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Kings have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (92 blocks/24 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Kings have a TS% of 50% this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Kings have averaged 1.24 points per shot (2,674 points/2,152 shots) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Kings shot 74% from the free throw line (1,274/1,710) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Kings have averaged 14.0 turnovers per game (335 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.9

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings allowed 14.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,190 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.2

The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (1,282/3,308) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Kings have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (92 blocks/24 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have a TS% of 50% this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Kings have averaged 1.24 points per shot (2,674 points/2,152 shots) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Kings shot 74% from the free throw line (1,274/1,710) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Kings have averaged 14.0 turnovers per game (335 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.9

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings allowed 14.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,190 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.2

The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (1,282/3,308) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Kings have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (92 blocks/24 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have a TS% of 50% this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Kings have averaged 1.24 points per shot (2,674 points/2,152 shots) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Kings shot 74% from the free throw line (1,274/1,710) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Kings have averaged 14.0 turnovers per game (335 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.