Mavericks vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 5

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Dallas Mavericks visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Mavericks vs Thunder Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 11-12 against the spread, while the Thunder are 11-11 against the spread.

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Mavericks vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Friday‘s game with 78.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Thunder.

Thunder vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 69.1% confidence.

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Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 30 away games (+12.70 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 54 games (+11.20 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 27 games (+11.05 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 74 games (+10.90 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.40 Units / 23% ROI)

Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 83 of their last 100 games (+29.35 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+17.50 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 36 games at home (+13.55 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 46 games at home (+13.25 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+13.20 Units / 23% ROI)

Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 11-12 (-2.25 Units / -8.88% ROI).

• 8-15 against the Moneyline (-6.9 Units / -21.8% ROI)
• 8-15 against the Over for game total points (-8.5 Units / -33.6% ROI)
• 15-8 against the Under for game total points (+6.2 Units / 24.51% ROI)

Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 11-11 (-1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• 21-1 against the Moneyline (+19.35 Units / 11.8% ROI)
• 12-10 against the Over for game total points (+1 Units / 4.13% ROI)
• 10-12 against the Under for game total points (-3.2 Units / -13.22% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 98 games (-29.27 Units / -18% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 100 games (-26.05 Units / -23% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 100 games (-20.70 Units / -19% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 70 games (-20.50 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 46 games (-17.70 Units / -33% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:

• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-22.85 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 85 games (-19.65 Units / -20% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 75 games (-19.60 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 84 games (-19.55 Units / -20% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 78 games (-19.35 Units / -19% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
• Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
• Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
• Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (1,768 steals/186 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Thunder have averaged 9.7 steals per game (904 steals/93 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Thunder have averaged 11.2 steals per game (581 steals/52 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder have averaged 10.3 steals per game (1,074 steals/104 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Thunder are undefeated (6-0) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .481

The Thunder are 15-1 (.938) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .486

The Thunder were 37-4 (.902) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Thunder are 129-35 (.787) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .509

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (1,768 steals/186 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Thunder have averaged 9.7 steals per game (904 steals/93 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Thunder have averaged 11.2 steals per game (581 steals/52 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder have averaged 10.3 steals per game (1,074 steals/104 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are undefeated (6-0) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .481

The Thunder are 15-1 (.938) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .486

The Thunder were 37-4 (.902) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Thunder are 129-35 (.787) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .509

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (1,768 steals/186 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Thunder have averaged 9.7 steals per game (904 steals/93 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Thunder have averaged 11.2 steals per game (581 steals/52 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder have averaged 10.3 steals per game (1,074 steals/104 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are undefeated (6-0) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .481

The Thunder are 15-1 (.938) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .486

The Thunder were 37-4 (.902) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Thunder are 129-35 (.787) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .509

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