Mavericks vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 22

• The Pelicans are -1.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
• Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
• Watch the game on KFAA | GCSE

The Dallas Mavericks visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Mavericks vs Pelicans Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 14-15 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 19-10 against the spread.

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Mavericks vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pelicans vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the will win Monday‘s game with confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with confidence.

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Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 33 away games (+13.55 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+10.50 Units / 95% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in their last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 87% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 away games (+9.90 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.55 Units / 23% ROI)

Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:

• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 82 games (+13.80 Units / 15% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+12.15 Units / 40% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.40 Units / 41% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 43 games at home (+8.95 Units / 18% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+8.85 Units / 70% ROI)

Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 14-15 (-2.55 Units / -7.98% ROI).

• 11-18 against the Moneyline (-5.15 Units / -12.96% ROI)
• 13-16 against the Over for game total points (-4.6 Units / -14.42% ROI)
• 16-13 against the Under for game total points (+1.7 Units / 5.33% ROI)

New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 19-10 (+8 Units / 25.08% ROI).

• 7-22 against the Moneyline (-9.55 Units / -31.94% ROI)
• 18-11 against the Over for game total points (+5.9 Units / 18.5% ROI)
• 11-18 against the Under for game total points (-8.8 Units / -27.59% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:

• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 82 games (-21.90 Units / -24% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 83 games (-21.80 Units / -22% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 1Q Spread in 27 of their last 68 games (-19.30 Units / -25% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 82 games (-18.75 Units / -20% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 66 games (-18.25 Units / -24% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:

• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 81 games (-21.65 Units / -23% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 86 games (-19.05 Units / -19% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 33 away games (-18.40 Units / -49% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 36 of their last 84 games (-18.25 Units / -19% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 84 games (-18.00 Units / -16% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
• Keys to Winning for the New Orleans Pelicans
• Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. New Orleans Pelicans
• Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
• New Orleans Pelicans Offensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
• New Orleans Pelicans Defensive stats

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Mavericks were 5-13 (.278) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Mavericks were 15-18 (.455) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Mavericks were 34-12 (.739) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Mavericks were 30-15 (.667) when they win the turnover margin in the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks have averaged 12.8 second chance points per game (370 points/29 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.2

The Mavericks have averaged 17.0 offensive rebounds per game (492 rebounds/29 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 18.2

The Mavericks have an eFG% of 48% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks were 5-13 (.278) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Mavericks were 15-18 (.455) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Mavericks were 34-12 (.739) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Mavericks were 30-15 (.667) when they win the turnover margin in the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks have averaged 12.8 second chance points per game (370 points/29 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.2

The Mavericks have averaged 17.0 offensive rebounds per game (492 rebounds/29 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 18.2

The Mavericks have an eFG% of 48% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks were 5-13 (.278) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Mavericks were 15-18 (.455) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Mavericks were 34-12 (.739) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Mavericks were 30-15 (.667) when they win the turnover margin in the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks have averaged 12.8 second chance points per game (370 points/29 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.2

The Mavericks have averaged 17.0 offensive rebounds per game (492 rebounds/29 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 18.2

The Mavericks have an eFG% of 48% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

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