Mavericks vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 1

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Dallas Mavericks visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver, CO.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Mavericks vs Nuggets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 9-12 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 12-7 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks O
Denver Nuggets U

Nuggets vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Monday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 29 away games (+11.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 85 games (+11.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 45 games at home (+17.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 41 of their last 63 games (+16.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 49 of their last 80 games (+16.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 44 games (+14.79 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 73 games (+14.30 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 9-12 (-4.25 Units / -18.36% ROI).

  • 6-15 against the Moneyline (-12.6 Units / -42.5% ROI)
  • 7-14 against the Over for game total points (-8.4 Units / -36.36% ROI)
  • 14-7 against the Under for game total points (+6.3 Units / 27.27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 12-7 (+4.3 Units / 20.53% ROI).

  • 14-5 against the Moneyline (-4.05 Units / -5.81% ROI)
  • 12-7 against the Over for game total points (+4.33 Units / 20.75% ROI)
  • 7-12 against the Under for game total points (-6.2 Units / -29.58% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 45 games at home (-23.65 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 74 games (-22.87 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 41 of their last 97 games (-22.15 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 98 games (-21.70 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 74 games (-21.43 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 85 games (-24.40 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 76 games (-23.15 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 73 games (-22.30 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 48 games (-21.30 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 85 games (-20.75 Units / -21% ROI)

Jump to:

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (75 blocks/19 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets have forced 12.3 turnovers per game (233 turnovers/19 games) this season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.1

The Nuggets have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (6,677 rebounds/183 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Nuggets are shooting 43% from three (141/328) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (302 assists/ 122 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Nuggets have a TS% of 56% on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (75 blocks/19 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets have forced 12.3 turnovers per game (233 turnovers/19 games) this season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.1

The Nuggets have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (6,677 rebounds/183 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 43% from three (141/328) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (302 assists/ 122 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Nuggets have a TS% of 56% on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (75 blocks/19 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets have forced 12.3 turnovers per game (233 turnovers/19 games) this season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.1

The Nuggets have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (6,677 rebounds/183 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 43% from three (141/328) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (302 assists/ 122 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Nuggets have a TS% of 56% on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.