- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on KFAA | ALT | KTVD
The Dallas Mavericks visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver, CO.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Mavericks vs Nuggets Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 9-12 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 12-7 against the spread.
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Mavericks vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dallas Mavericks | O | ||
| Denver Nuggets | U |
Nuggets vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Monday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Nuggets.
Nuggets vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 29 away games (+11.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 85 games (+11.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.75 Units / 31% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 45 games at home (+17.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 41 of their last 63 games (+16.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 49 of their last 80 games (+16.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 44 games (+14.79 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 73 games (+14.30 Units / 11% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 9-12 (-4.25 Units / -18.36% ROI).
- 6-15 against the Moneyline (-12.6 Units / -42.5% ROI)
- 7-14 against the Over for game total points (-8.4 Units / -36.36% ROI)
- 14-7 against the Under for game total points (+6.3 Units / 27.27% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 12-7 (+4.3 Units / 20.53% ROI).
- 14-5 against the Moneyline (-4.05 Units / -5.81% ROI)
- 12-7 against the Over for game total points (+4.33 Units / 20.75% ROI)
- 7-12 against the Under for game total points (-6.2 Units / -29.58% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 45 games at home (-23.65 Units / -46% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 74 games (-22.87 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 41 of their last 97 games (-22.15 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 98 games (-21.70 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 74 games (-21.43 Units / -25% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 85 games (-24.40 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 76 games (-23.15 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 73 games (-22.30 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 48 games (-21.30 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 85 games (-20.75 Units / -21% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (75 blocks/19 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets have forced 12.3 turnovers per game (233 turnovers/19 games) this season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.1
The Nuggets have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (6,677 rebounds/183 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Nuggets are shooting 43% from three (141/328) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (302 assists/ 122 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Nuggets have a TS% of 56% on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (75 blocks/19 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets have forced 12.3 turnovers per game (233 turnovers/19 games) this season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.1
The Nuggets have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (6,677 rebounds/183 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets are shooting 43% from three (141/328) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (302 assists/ 122 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Nuggets have a TS% of 56% on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (75 blocks/19 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets have forced 12.3 turnovers per game (233 turnovers/19 games) this season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.1
The Nuggets have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (6,677 rebounds/183 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets are shooting 43% from three (141/328) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (302 assists/ 122 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Nuggets have a TS% of 56% on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
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