- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on FSUN | KFAA
The Dallas Mavericks visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Miami, FL.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Mavericks vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 7-11 against the spread, while the Heat are 12-5 against the spread.
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Mavericks vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dallas Mavericks | O | ||
| Miami Heat | U |
Heat vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Monday‘s game with 74.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Heat.
Heat vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 65.9% confidence.
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Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 26 away games (+10.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 49 games (+10.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+10.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 85 games (+9.05 Units / 9% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 71 games (+25.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 76 games (+23.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 46 of their last 72 games (+18.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 45 of their last 71 games (+17.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games (+12.80 Units / 39% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 7-11 (-5.15 Units / -25.94% ROI).
- 5-13 against the Moneyline (-13.65 Units / -51.22% ROI)
- 6-12 against the Over for game total points (-7.2 Units / -36.36% ROI)
- 12-6 against the Under for game total points (+5.4 Units / 27.27% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 12-5 (+6.5 Units / 34.76% ROI).
- 11-6 against the Moneyline (+8.2 Units / 34.75% ROI)
- 10-6 against the Over for game total points (+3.4 Units / 18.18% ROI)
- 6-10 against the Under for game total points (-5 Units / -26.74% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 91 games (-20.90 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 77 games (-20.38 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 25 of their last 68 games (-20.20 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 89 games (-19.15 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 67 games (-18.45 Units / -24% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 73 games (-23.35 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 45 games (-22.35 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 85 games (-22.20 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 70 games (-21.85 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 84 games (-21.75 Units / -22% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Miami Heat
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Mavericks are shooting 30% from three (101/333) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Mavericks have a TS% of 47% in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
The Mavericks have averaged 52.6 points per game (946 points/18 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.7
The Mavericks are shooting 32% from three (201/629) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Heat have averaged 19.1 fast break points per game (325 points/17 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3
The Heat have averaged 11.9 fast break points per game (202 points/17 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Heat have averaged 65.8 points per game (1,119 points/17 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.7
The Heat have averaged 124.9 points per game (2,124 points/17 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 117.0
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks are shooting 30% from three (101/333) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Mavericks have a TS% of 47% in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
The Mavericks have averaged 52.6 points per game (946 points/18 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.7
The Mavericks are shooting 32% from three (201/629) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 19.1 fast break points per game (325 points/17 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3
The Heat have averaged 11.9 fast break points per game (202 points/17 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Heat have averaged 65.8 points per game (1,119 points/17 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.7
The Heat have averaged 124.9 points per game (2,124 points/17 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 117.0
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks are shooting 30% from three (101/333) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Mavericks have a TS% of 47% in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
The Mavericks have averaged 52.6 points per game (946 points/18 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.7
The Mavericks are shooting 32% from three (201/629) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 19.1 fast break points per game (325 points/17 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3
The Heat have averaged 11.9 fast break points per game (202 points/17 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Heat have averaged 65.8 points per game (1,119 points/17 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.7
The Heat have averaged 124.9 points per game (2,124 points/17 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 117.0
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