- The Nuggets are -10.5 favorites vs. the Kings
- Total (Over/Under): 239.5 points
- Watch the game on ALT | NSCA
The Sacramento Kings visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Denver, CO.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The Kings vs Nuggets Over/Under is 239.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Kings are 5-11 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 10-5 against the spread.
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Kings vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Sacramento Kings | +10.5 -110 | O 239.5 -105 | 400 |
| Denver Nuggets | -10.5 -110 | U 239.5 -115 | -550 |
Nuggets vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Saturday‘s game with 78.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Nuggets.
Nuggets vs Kings Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 69.1% confidence.
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Kings Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 54 games (+9.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.57 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have covered the 2Q Spread in 16 of their last 23 away games (+7.95 Units / 30% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games (+17.54 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 48 games at home (+15.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 82 games (+15.40 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 38 of their last 59 games (+14.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 69 games (+13.20 Units / 11% ROI)
Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 5-11 (-7.1 Units / -40.34% ROI).
- 3-13 against the Moneyline (-9.55 Units / -52.76% ROI)
- 8-8 against the Over for game total points (-0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 8-8 against the Under for game total points (-0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 10-5 (+4.5 Units / 27.19% ROI).
- 12-3 against the Moneyline (+2.05 Units / 3.58% ROI)
- 8-7 against the Over for game total points (+0.33 Units / 2% ROI)
- 7-8 against the Under for game total points (-1.8 Units / -10.87% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 41 of their last 98 games (-23.50 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 48 games at home (-22.70 Units / -41% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 70 games (-21.62 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 42 of their last 98 games (-21.55 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 70 games (-21.28 Units / -26% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 84 games (-34.40 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 84 games (-31.50 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 72 games (-24.75 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 40 games (-20.45 Units / -44% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 84 games (-19.35 Units / -20% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Sacramento Kings vs. Denver Nuggets
- Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Kings have a TS% of 46% in the second half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Kings have an eFG% of 49% in the second half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Kings have averaged 6.5 turnovers per game (104 turnovers/16 games) in the second half this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Kings have a 27% free throw rate (375 free throw attempts/1,410 field goal attempts) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 29%
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings
The Nuggets averaged 31.0 points in the paint per game (2,540 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6
The Nuggets averaged 5.5 assists per game (302 assists/55 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.2
The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (302 assists/ 122 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kings have a TS% of 46% in the second half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Kings have an eFG% of 49% in the second half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Kings have averaged 6.5 turnovers per game (104 turnovers/16 games) in the second half this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Kings have a 27% free throw rate (375 free throw attempts/1,410 field goal attempts) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 29%
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 31.0 points in the paint per game (2,540 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6
The Nuggets averaged 5.5 assists per game (302 assists/55 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.2
The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (302 assists/ 122 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kings have a TS% of 46% in the second half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Kings have an eFG% of 49% in the second half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Kings have averaged 6.5 turnovers per game (104 turnovers/16 games) in the second half this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Kings have a 27% free throw rate (375 free throw attempts/1,410 field goal attempts) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 29%
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 31.0 points in the paint per game (2,540 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6
The Nuggets averaged 5.5 assists per game (302 assists/55 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.2
The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (302 assists/ 122 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
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