Kings vs Heat Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Dec. 6

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on FSUN

The Sacramento Kings visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Miami, FL.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Kings vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 7-15 against the spread, while the Heat are 14-9 against the spread.

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Kings vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Heat vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Saturday‘s game with 70.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Heat.

Heat vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 66.6% confidence.

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Kings Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Sacramento Kings have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 60 games (+10.75 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 27 away games (+9.95 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have covered the 2Q Spread in 18 of their last 26 away games (+8.75 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 55% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 away games (+7.55 Units / 24% ROI)

Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 47 of their last 77 games (+26.35 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 51 of their last 82 games (+25.10 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 49 of their last 77 games (+18.95 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 48 of their last 78 games (+15.75 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+11.15 Units / 24% ROI)

Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 7-15 (-9.5 Units / -39.26% ROI).

• 5-17 against the Moneyline (-5.75 Units / -23.86% ROI)
• 10-12 against the Over for game total points (-3.2 Units / -13.22% ROI)
• 12-10 against the Under for game total points (+1 Units / 4.13% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 14-9 (+4.1 Units / 16.21% ROI).

• 14-9 against the Moneyline (+6.7 Units / 17.87% ROI)
• 12-10 against the Over for game total points (+1 Units / 3.95% ROI)
• 10-12 against the Under for game total points (-3.2 Units / -12.65% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 26 of their last 74 games (-26.00 Units / -27% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 83 games (-25.08 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 2H Spread in 30 of their last 76 games (-21.13 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 90 games (-19.72 Units / -18% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 73 games (-18.75 Units / -22% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:

• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 80 games (-29.65 Units / -23% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 62 games (-23.30 Units / -21% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 78 games (-21.60 Units / -21% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 15 of their last 46 games (-21.00 Units / -39% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 60 games (-20.15 Units / -29% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Player Injuries for Sacramento Kings vs. Miami Heat
• Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Sacramento Kings Defensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Kings have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.6 (68 assists/ 26 TOs) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Kings have averaged 5.9 turnovers per game (129 turnovers/22 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Kings have averaged 13.9 turnovers per game (305 turnovers/22 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

The Kings have made 10.9 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Kings were 2-5 (.286) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times in the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424

The Kings are 3-13 (.188) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .483

The Kings were 9-12 (.429) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Kings were 26-14 (.650) when scoring 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.6 (68 assists/ 26 TOs) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Kings have averaged 5.9 turnovers per game (129 turnovers/22 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Kings have averaged 13.9 turnovers per game (305 turnovers/22 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

The Kings have made 10.9 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings were 2-5 (.286) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times in the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424

The Kings are 3-13 (.188) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .483

The Kings were 9-12 (.429) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Kings were 26-14 (.650) when scoring 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.6 (68 assists/ 26 TOs) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Kings have averaged 5.9 turnovers per game (129 turnovers/22 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Kings have averaged 13.9 turnovers per game (305 turnovers/22 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

The Kings have made 10.9 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings were 2-5 (.286) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times in the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424

The Kings are 3-13 (.188) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .483

The Kings were 9-12 (.429) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Kings were 26-14 (.650) when scoring 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

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