Hornets vs Heat Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 7

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on FSUN | FDCH

The Charlotte Hornets visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Miami, FL.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Hornets vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hornets are 4-4 against the spread, while the Heat are 5-3 against the spread.

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Hornets vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Heat vs Hornets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Friday‘s game with 66.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hornets and Heat.

Heat vs Hornets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hornets will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 64.5% confidence.

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Hornets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 74 games (+15.80 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 75 games (+12.15 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+8.40 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 4Q Spread in 42 of their last 73 games (+8.40 Units / 10% ROI)

Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 67 games (+18.30 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games (+17.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 39 of their last 62 games (+14.85 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 31 games at home (+14.05 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 39 of their last 63 games (+13.70 Units / 19% ROI)

Charlotte Hornets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 4-4 (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• 3-5 against the Moneyline (-1.95 Units / -21.67% ROI)
• 4-4 against the Over for game total points (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
• 4-4 against the Under for game total points (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 5-3 (+1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI).

• 4-4 against the Moneyline (+2.05 Units / 23.3% ROI)
• 5-3 against the Over for game total points (+1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI)
• 3-5 against the Under for game total points (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 88 games (-23.48 Units / -23% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 89 games (-22.06 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 68 games (-21.43 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 58 games (-21.00 Units / -31% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 20 of their last 59 games (-20.70 Units / -28% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hornets:

• The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 71 games (-32.80 Units / -43% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 81 games (-29.95 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 80 games (-27.65 Units / -30% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 74 games (-27.05 Units / -32% ROI)
• The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 66 games (-26.15 Units / -37% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Charlotte Hornets
• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Player Injuries for Charlotte Hornets vs. Miami Heat
• Charlotte Hornets Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Charlotte Hornets Defensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats

Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Hornets had an eFG% of 50% last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Hornets shot 43% (3,142/7,308) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Hornets are shooting 43% (3,478/8,008) since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Hornets averaged 105.1 points per game (4,308 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.1

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Heat have averaged 1.51 points per shot (531 points/352 shots) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Heat have averaged 11.8 second chance points per game (994 points/84 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2

The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Heat averaged 110.6 points per game (9,069 points/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.8

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets had an eFG% of 50% last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Hornets shot 43% (3,142/7,308) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Hornets are shooting 43% (3,478/8,008) since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Hornets averaged 105.1 points per game (4,308 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.1

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 1.51 points per shot (531 points/352 shots) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Heat have averaged 11.8 second chance points per game (994 points/84 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2

The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Heat averaged 110.6 points per game (9,069 points/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.8

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets had an eFG% of 50% last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Hornets shot 43% (3,142/7,308) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Hornets are shooting 43% (3,478/8,008) since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Hornets averaged 105.1 points per game (4,308 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.1

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 1.51 points per shot (531 points/352 shots) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Heat have averaged 11.8 second chance points per game (994 points/84 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2

The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Heat averaged 110.6 points per game (9,069 points/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.8

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