Heat vs Mavericks Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Dec. 3

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on FSUN | KFAA | WFAA | NBAt

The Miami Heat visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas, TX.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Heat vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 13-8 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 10-12 against the spread.

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Heat vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mavericks vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Wednesday‘s game with 66.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 53.9% confidence.

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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 46 of their last 75 games (+26.50 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 50 of their last 80 games (+25.10 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 39 away games (+23.00 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 48 of their last 75 games (+19.05 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 21 away games (+12.50 Units / 51% ROI)

Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 43 games at home (+14.15 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 44 games (+11.70 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+10.85 Units / 68% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 73 games (+9.90 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.60 Units / 27% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 13-8 (+4.2 Units / 18.18% ROI).

• 14-7 against the Moneyline (+9.55 Units / 27.56% ROI)
• 12-8 against the Over for game total points (+3.2 Units / 13.85% ROI)
• 8-12 against the Under for game total points (-5.2 Units / -22.51% ROI)

Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 10-12 (-3.25 Units / -13.4% ROI).

• 7-15 against the Moneyline (-8.5 Units / -27.73% ROI)
• 8-14 against the Over for game total points (-7.4 Units / -30.58% ROI)
• 14-8 against the Under for game total points (+5.2 Units / 21.49% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:

• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 85 games (-22.25 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 85 games (-20.70 Units / -21% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 77 games (-20.65 Units / -20% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 74 games (-20.65 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 43 games at home (-20.60 Units / -41% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 26 of their last 72 games (-25.00 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 81 games (-22.73 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 88 games (-21.82 Units / -20% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 71 games (-20.75 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 2H Spread in 30 of their last 74 games (-18.78 Units / -23% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
• Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Dallas Mavericks
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Heat are 6-20 (.231) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .386

The Heat are 10-5 (.667) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .488

The Heat are undefeated (24-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .901

The Heat were 28-14 (.667) when they win the turnover margin in the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Mavericks are shooting 30% from three (123/404) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Mavericks have a TS% of 47% in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Mavericks have an eFG% of 49% in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Mavericks have averaged 12.8 second chance points per game (282 points/22 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat are 6-20 (.231) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .386

The Heat are 10-5 (.667) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .488

The Heat are undefeated (24-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .901

The Heat were 28-14 (.667) when they win the turnover margin in the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks are shooting 30% from three (123/404) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Mavericks have a TS% of 47% in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Mavericks have an eFG% of 49% in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Mavericks have averaged 12.8 second chance points per game (282 points/22 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat are 6-20 (.231) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .386

The Heat are 10-5 (.667) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .488

The Heat are undefeated (24-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .901

The Heat were 28-14 (.667) when they win the turnover margin in the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks are shooting 30% from three (123/404) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Mavericks have a TS% of 47% in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Mavericks have an eFG% of 49% in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Mavericks have averaged 12.8 second chance points per game (282 points/22 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3

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