Heat vs Celtics Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Dec. 19

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on FSUN | NBSB

The Miami Heat visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Boston, MA.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Heat vs Celtics Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 15-12 against the spread, while the Celtics are 14-12 against the spread.

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Heat vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Celtics vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Friday‘s game with 73.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Celtics.

Celtics vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 68.8% confidence.

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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 50 of their last 81 games (+26.65 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 43 away games (+25.20 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 43 away games (+24.85 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 52 of their last 81 games (+20.80 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.60 Units / 27% ROI)

Celtics Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 67 games (+17.55 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 43 of their last 67 games (+16.45 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 65 games (+14.60 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have hit the Team Total Under in 56 of their last 93 games (+14.30 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 47 of their last 67 games (+13.95 Units / 8% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 15-12 (+1.8 Units / 6.06% ROI).

• 15-12 against the Moneyline (+1.1 Units / 2.35% ROI)
• 12-14 against the Over for game total points (-3.4 Units / -11.45% ROI)
• 14-12 against the Under for game total points (+0.8 Units / 2.69% ROI)

Boston Celtics Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 14-12 (+0.8 Units / 2.8% ROI).

• 15-11 against the Moneyline (-9.35 Units / -14.82% ROI)
• 12-14 against the Over for game total points (-3.4 Units / -11.89% ROI)
• 14-12 against the Under for game total points (+0.8 Units / 2.8% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Celtics:

• The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 93 games (-44.65 Units / -11% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 44 of their last 93 games (-32.83 Units / -17% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 93 games (-28.40 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 93 games (-25.17 Units / -18% ROI)
• The Boston Celtics have only covered the 4Q Spread in 39 of their last 93 games (-22.30 Units / -21% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 87 games (-31.33 Units / -28% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 28 of their last 78 games (-26.45 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 2H Spread in 31 of their last 80 games (-23.53 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 87 games (-21.00 Units / -21% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 84 games (-20.70 Units / -14% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Keys to Winning for the Boston Celtics
• Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Boston Celtics Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats
• Boston Celtics Defensive stats

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Heat were 6-21 (.222) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .354

The Heat were 14-8 (.636) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

The Heat were 28-14 (.667) when they win the turnover margin in the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Heat were 9-34 (.209) when allowing 110 or more points last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .340

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Heat have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (779 assists/ 384 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Heat have averaged 10.9 fast break points per game (295 points/27 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Heat have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (374 assists/ 181 TOs) on the road this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Heat have averaged 12.2 second chance points per game (2,327 points/191 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat were 6-21 (.222) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .354

The Heat were 14-8 (.636) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

The Heat were 28-14 (.667) when they win the turnover margin in the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Heat were 9-34 (.209) when allowing 110 or more points last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .340

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (779 assists/ 384 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Heat have averaged 10.9 fast break points per game (295 points/27 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Heat have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (374 assists/ 181 TOs) on the road this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Heat have averaged 12.2 second chance points per game (2,327 points/191 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat were 6-21 (.222) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .354

The Heat were 14-8 (.636) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

The Heat were 28-14 (.667) when they win the turnover margin in the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Heat were 9-34 (.209) when allowing 110 or more points last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .340

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (779 assists/ 384 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Heat have averaged 10.9 fast break points per game (295 points/27 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Heat have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (374 assists/ 181 TOs) on the road this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Heat have averaged 12.2 second chance points per game (2,327 points/191 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

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