Heat 2024-25 Betting Preview: Prediction, Roster Projection

Shane Thurston Oct 18, 2024, 5:41 PM

min read

Jimmy Butler #22 of the Miami Heat reacts during the fourth quarter against the Milwaukee Bucks in Game Four of the Eastern Conference First Round Playoffs at Kaseya Center on April 24, 2023 in Miami, Florida.

Megan Briggs/Getty Images

The Miami Heat posted a 46-36 record last season.
Miami’s win total is 44.5 entering 2024-25.

The Miami Heat are 15 months removed from an NBA Finals appearance, but they appear to be more of a long shot ahead of the 2024-25 campaign.

NBA futures odds are available at the online sportsbook, including Miami Heat odds for NBA champion, division winner, and player awards.

Heat Futures Odds

Win Total: 44.5
Southeast Division: +165
Eastern Conference: +2500
NBA Championship: +5000

The NBA odds market won’t overlook Heat culture, but this team’s stock has dropped a bit.

Miami is +5000 to win the NBA Finals after being +3000 last preseason. The Heat have the longest preseason value to win the East since being +2200 in 2019-20 when they reached the NBA Finals.

The Heat’s win total also dropped by one after winning 46 games last year.

Heat Offseason Moves

The Heat experienced plenty of roster turnover this offseason, though they didn’t lose much in actual production.

Additions

Player	Position
Alec Burks	SG
Josh Cristopher	G
Keshad Johnson	SF
Pelle Larsson	SG
Zyon Pullin	PG
Dru Smith	SG
Isaiah Stevens	PG
Kel’el Ware	PF

Departures

Player	Position
Jamal Cain	F
Caleb Martin	F
Patty Mills	G
Orlando Robinson	PF
Cole Swider	F
Alondes Williams	G
Delon Wright	G

The Heat could regret losing Caleb Martin, who signed a reasonable deal with the Philadelphia 76ers. Martin averaged 10.0 points and 4.4 rebounds per game for Miami last year.

Miami selected Kel’el Ware in the first round of this year’s NBA Draft. Ware, a big man from Indiana, flashed his potential during the NBA Summer League.

Heat 2024 Betting Prediction

Prediction: Heat to Make Play-In Tournament (-110)

The Heat have become used to being in the Play-In Tournament, appearing in each of the past two years.

Miami, as the No. 8 seed, made it all the way to the NBA Finals in 2023, losing to the Denver Nuggets. The Heat lost to the eventual champion Boston Celtics in the opening round last year as the No. 8 seed.

While I’m tempted to take the plus-money price on Miami to miss the playoffs, there are too many tanking teams in the Eastern Conference to feel confident in that wager.

The safer play is the -110 value on the Heat to reach the Play-In Tournament. The East is more formidable at the top, but there are enough weaker squads to keep the Heat from falling too far down the standings.

2024-25 NBA Team Previews & Predictions

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The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author

Shane Thurston