It takes a lot of work to lead Major League Baseball in hits. The sport’s top batters have recorded 200-plus hits in back-to-back seasons.
- 2024: Bobby Witt Jr. (211)
- 2023: Ronald Acuña Jr. (217)
As a result, it’s worth targeting MVP-caliber players who can play nearly every day in this MLB betting market for the 2025 season.
MLB Hits Leader Odds 2025
| Player | Team | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Royals | +400 |
| Luis Arraez | Padres | +650 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Blue Jays | +1100 |
| Steve Kwan | Guardians | +1100 |
| Trea Turner | Phillies | +1300 |
| Julio Rodriguez | Mariners | +2000 |
| Freddie Freeman | Dodgers | +2000 |
| Shohei Ohtani | Dodgers | +2000 |
| Jose Altuve | Astros | +2500 |
| Jackson Merrill | Padres | +2500 |
| Jose Ramirez | Guardians | +2500 |
| Jung Hoo Lee | Giants | +2500 |
| Michael Harris II | Braves | +3000 |
| Ezequiel Tovar | Rockies | +3000 |
| Mookie Betts | Dodgers | +3000 |
Who Will Lead MLB in Hits in 2025?
Based on the latest MLB odds, Kansas City Royals shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. is the betting favorite (+400) to lead the majors in hits during the 2025 season. His odds translate to an implied probability of 20%.
Witt was +1800 in this market last preseason, but there is a solid argument that his odds to be MLB’s hits leader are more valuable than his American League MVP price of +325.
Most projection systems expect Witt to lead the majors in hits again. OOPSY, available at FanGraphs, has him finishing with 190 hits this year.
Witt, who is 24 and will play every day, is the betting favorite for a reason.
MLB Hits Leader Predictions for 2025
While I’m more interested in backing the favorite for MLB’s hits leader than other stat markets, it only takes one injury to open up this race. There is value to be had down the board, though I’m targeting this profile:
- MVP candidate
- Capable of playing every day
- Top spots in the lineup
With that profile in mind, Seattle Mariners outfielder Julio RodrÃguez (+2000) and Atlanta Braves third baseman Austin Riley (+8000) are my favorite predictions for MLB’s hits leader market in 2025.
RodrÃguez was my favorite MVP bet when the market opened at his 40/1 value, but this could be the best way to bet on a bounce-back season.
RodrÃguez got off to a slow start and struggled with injuries during the summer, but demonstrated his potential in September when he ranked second behind Shohei Ohtani in hits.
OOPSY projects 177 hits for RodrÃguez, putting him fourth in the majors and 13 hits behind Witt. Although RodrÃguez doesn’t play in a great ballpark for offense, he remains a valuable option in this market at 20/1.
Riley is more of a long shot, particularly after recording 109 hits in 110 games last year. However, he played 159-plus games in three straight seasons between 2021-23, ranking fourth in MLB with 526 hits over that span.
At 27 years old, Riley is just now entering his prime and will bat in the No. 2 hole for an explosive lineup. OOPSY projects Riley to finish sixth in the majors with 171 hits, suggesting tremendous value on his current price tag.
MLB Hits Leader Best Bets
- Julio RodrÃguez (+2000)
- Austin Riley (+8000)
MLB Hits Leaders Year-by-Year
| Year | Player | Hits | Preseason Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Bobby Witt Jr. | 211 | +1800 |
| 2023 | Ronald Acuna Jr. | 217 | +4000 |
| 2022 | Freddie Freeman | 199 | +1400 |
| 2021 | Trea Turner | 195 | +900 |
| 2020 | Trea Turner | 78 | +2000 |
| 2019 | Whitt Merrifield | 206 | +700 |
| 2018 | Whit Merrifield | 192 | +10000 |
| 2017 | Charlie Blackmon | 213 | +2200 |
| 2016 | Jose Altuve | 216 | +350 |
| 2015 | Dee Gordon | 205 | +2200 |
| 2014 | Jose Altuve | 225 | +1800 |
Who Led MLB in Hits During the 2024 Season?
Kansas City Royals shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. led MLB with 211 hits during the 2024 season.
What is the Single-Season Record for Most Hits?
Ichiro Suzuki holds MLB’s record for most hits in a single season, recording 262 in 2004 as a member of the Seattle Mariners.
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