Iowa vs Michigan State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 2

(AP Photo)
  • Michigan State is a -5.5 point favorite vs Iowa
  • Total (Over/Under): 132.5 points
  • Iowa / Michigan State TV channel: PEAC

The Iowa Hawkeyes visit Breslin Center to take on the Michigan State Spartans on Dec. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in East Lansing, MI.

Michigan State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Iowa vs. Michigan State Over/Under is 132.5 total points.

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Iowa vs. Michigan State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Iowa+5.5 -115O 132.5 -105190
Michigan State -5.5 -105U 132.5 -115-235

Iowa vs Michigan State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this college basketball game with 61.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Iowa vs Michigan State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 53.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Iowa has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+6.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 33 games (+3.95 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 33 games (+2.35 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 36 games (+22.10 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 36 games (+15.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 36 games (+15.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+2.99 Units / 13% ROI)

Iowa Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Iowa has a 6-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.9 Units / 63.64% ROI).

  • 7-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 0.9% ROI
  • 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 23.38% ROI
  • 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -31.17% ROI

Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan State has a 4-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).

  • 7-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.5 Units / 1.3% ROI
  • 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
  • 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI

Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (294/1,052) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three (194/720) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (255/861) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Michigan State has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (190 points/168 shots) this season — 4th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.37

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa has allowed opponents to shoot 47% (2,068/4,439) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Iowa has allowed opponents to shoot 50% (781/1,560) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Iowa has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (1,031/2,256) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 42%

Iowa has allowed 40.7 points per game (2,968 points/73 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 37.2

Iowa Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (294/1,052) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three (194/720) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (255/861) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Michigan State has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (190 points/168 shots) this season — 4th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.37

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa has allowed opponents to shoot 47% (2,068/4,439) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Iowa has allowed opponents to shoot 50% (781/1,560) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Iowa has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (1,031/2,256) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 42%

Iowa has allowed 40.7 points per game (2,968 points/73 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 37.2


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