Wisconsin vs Minnesota Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 14

BetMGM Betting Nov 28, 2025, 10:30 AM

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Minnesota is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Wisconsin
Wisconsin vs. Minnesota Total (Over/Under): 37.5 points
TV Channel: FS1

Wisconsin (4-7) visit Huntington Bank Stadium to take on Minnesota (6-5) on Nov. 29 in Minneapolis, MN. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.

Minnesota is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Wisconsin vs. Minnesota Over/Under is 37.5 total points.

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Wisconsin vs. Minnesota Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Wisconsin	+1.5 -115	37.5 -110	-105
Minnesota	-1.5 -105	37.5 -110	-115

Wisconsin vs Minnesota Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Minnesota will win this game with 52.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Wisconsin and Minnesota, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Wisconsin vs Minnesota Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Minnesota will cover the spread with 52.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Wisconsin Best Bets Today

Wisconsin has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.85 Units / 72% ROI)
Wisconsin has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.30 Units / 38% ROI)
Wisconsin has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.70 Units / 18% ROI)

Minnesota Best Bets Today

Minnesota has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+6.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.05 Units / 60% ROI)
Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
Minnesota has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Minnesota has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)

Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wisconsin is 6-5 against the spread this college football season (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI).

Wisconsin is 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -2.45% ROI
Wisconsin is 2-9 when betting the Over for -7.95 Units / -65.43% ROI
Wisconsin is 9-2 when betting the Under for +6.8 Units / 56.43% ROI

Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Minnesota iss 3-8 against the spread this college football season (-5.8 Units / -48.13% ROI).

Minnesota is 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 2.15% ROI
Minnesota is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
Minnesota is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Wisconsin: Keys to the Game vs. Minnesota

Wisconsin was winless (0-5) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .481

Wisconsin was winless (0-5) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498

Wisconsin was 3-7 (.300) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .420

Wisconsin is 2-5 (.286) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .488

Minnesota: Keys to the Game vs. Wisconsin

Minnesota allowed first downs on 78% of pass attempts on 3rd and short last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 49%

Minnesota has tackled opponents for a loss on 71 of 318 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) this season– 2nd-best in the Big Ten; Average: 16%.

Minnesota tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 70 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Minnesota has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (33/283) this season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Minnesota has tackled opponents for a loss on 71 of 318 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) this season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Matchup Notes for Wisconsin vs. Minnesota