- Michigan is a -17.5 point favorite vs. Wisconsin
- Wisconsin vs. Michigan Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
Wisconsin (2-2) visit Michigan Stadium to take on Michigan (3-1) on Oct. 4 in Ann Arbor, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-105).
The Wisconsin vs. Michigan Over/Under is 43.5 total points.
Bet now on Michigan vs Wisconsin & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Wisconsin vs. Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Wisconsin | +17.5 -115 | 43.5 -110 | 575 |
| Michigan | -17.5 -105 | 43.5 -110 | -900 |
Wisconsin vs Michigan Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Michigan will win this game with 81.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Wisconsin and Michigan, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Wisconsin vs Michigan Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wisconsin will cover the spread with 78.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Michigan vs Wisconsin and all games with BetMGM
Wisconsin Best Bets Today
- Wisconsin has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.00 Units / 3% ROI)
- Wisconsin have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.55 Units / 8% ROI)
Michigan Best Bets Today
- Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+11.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+7.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.30 Units / 14% ROI)
Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Wisconsin is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).
- Wisconsin is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -4.5% ROI
- Wisconsin is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Wisconsin is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan iss 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Michigan is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 2.12% ROI
- Michigan is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Michigan is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
Wisconsin: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan
Wisconsin was winless (0-5) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498
Wisconsin is 1-8 (.111) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .466
Wisconsin was 1-7 (.125) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500
Wisconsin was winless (0-5) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Wisconsin
Wisconsin’s WRs has gained 525 yards on 42 receptions (just 12.5 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 8.2 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin has gained 823 yards on 74 receptions (just 11.1 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 9.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Wisconsin WRs averaged 24.7 yards per reception (222 yards/9 catches) in short yardage situations last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.7
Wisconsin TEs have been targeted 12 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among Big Ten Teams
Wisconsin WRs have averaged 27.0 yards per reception (81 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.3
Matchup Notes for Wisconsin vs. Michigan
Wisconsin’s WRs has gained 525 yards on 42 receptions (just 12.5 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 8.2 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin has gained 823 yards on 74 receptions (just 11.1 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 9.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Wisconsin WRs averaged 24.7 yards per reception (222 yards/9 catches) in short yardage situations last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.7
Wisconsin TEs have been targeted 12 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among Big Ten Teams
Wisconsin WRs have averaged 27.0 yards per reception (81 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.3
Wisconsin was winless (0-5) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498
Wisconsin is 1-8 (.111) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .466
Wisconsin was 1-7 (.125) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500
Wisconsin was winless (0-5) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Wisconsin Offensive Stats & Trends
Wisconsin was winless (0-5) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498
Wisconsin is 1-8 (.111) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .466
Wisconsin was 1-7 (.125) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500
Wisconsin was winless (0-5) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends
Wisconsin’s WRs has gained 525 yards on 42 receptions (just 12.5 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 8.2 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin has gained 823 yards on 74 receptions (just 11.1 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 9.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Wisconsin WRs averaged 24.7 yards per reception (222 yards/9 catches) in short yardage situations last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.7
Wisconsin TEs have been targeted 12 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among Big Ten Teams
Wisconsin WRs have averaged 27.0 yards per reception (81 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.3
Wisconsin Defensive Stats & Trends
Wisconsin was winless (0-5) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498
Wisconsin is 1-8 (.111) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .466
Wisconsin was 1-7 (.125) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500
Wisconsin was winless (0-5) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends
Wisconsin’s WRs has gained 525 yards on 42 receptions (just 12.5 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 8.2 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin has gained 823 yards on 74 receptions (just 11.1 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 9.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Wisconsin WRs averaged 24.7 yards per reception (222 yards/9 catches) in short yardage situations last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.7
Wisconsin TEs have been targeted 12 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among Big Ten Teams
Wisconsin WRs have averaged 27.0 yards per reception (81 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.3
Bet now on Michigan vs Wisconsin and all games with BetMGM
More College Football Betting at BetMGM
BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
