Wisconsin vs Indiana Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 12

Indiana head coach Curt Cignetti watches from the sideline as his team plays Michigan during the first half of an NCAA college football game in Bloomington, Ind., Saturday, Nov. 9, 2024.
(AP Photo/AJ Mast)
  • Indiana is a -29.5 point favorite vs. Wisconsin
  • Wisconsin vs. Indiana Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
  • TV Channel: BTN

Wisconsin (3-6) visit Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) to take on Indiana (10-0) on Nov. 15 in Bloomington, IN. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.

Indiana is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -29.5 (-105).

The Wisconsin vs. Indiana Over/Under is 44.5 total points.

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Wisconsin vs. Indiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Wisconsin+29.5 -11544.5 -1152000
Indiana -29.5 -10544.5 -105-10000

Wisconsin vs Indiana Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Indiana will win this game with 75.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Wisconsin and Indiana, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Wisconsin vs Indiana Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wisconsin will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wisconsin is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).

  • Wisconsin is 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.55 Units / -5.12% ROI
  • Wisconsin is 2-7 when betting the Over for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI
  • Wisconsin is 7-2 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI

Indiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Indiana iss 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • Indiana is 9-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.2 Units / 5.92% ROI
  • Indiana is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 24.55% ROI
  • Indiana is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -32.73% ROI

Wisconsin: Keys to the Game vs. Indiana

Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 73 of 266 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 16%.

Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 73 of 266 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 73 of 266 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Indiana opponents has averaged 58.0 Passing Attempts per TD (290 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 23.2

Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 163 of 646 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Indiana: Keys to the Game vs. Wisconsin

Wisconsin’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.5% of 215 attempts this season — 7th-worst among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.9% of attempts this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin WRs averaged 24.7 yards per reception (222 yards/9 catches) in short yardage situations last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.7

Wisconsin’s WRs has gained 791 yards on 69 receptions (just 11.5 YPR) this season — T-21st-worst among FBS WRs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 9.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Wisconsin’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.5% of 215 attempts this season — 7th-worst among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.9% of attempts this season — T-4th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Wisconsin has gained 1,265 yards on 120 receptions (just 10.5 YPR) this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS skill players. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 9.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Matchup Notes for Wisconsin vs. Indiana

Wisconsin’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.5% of 215 attempts this season — 7th-worst among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.9% of attempts this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin WRs averaged 24.7 yards per reception (222 yards/9 catches) in short yardage situations last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.7

Wisconsin’s WRs has gained 791 yards on 69 receptions (just 11.5 YPR) this season — T-21st-worst among FBS WRs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 9.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Wisconsin’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.5% of 215 attempts this season — 7th-worst among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.9% of attempts this season — T-4th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Wisconsin has gained 1,265 yards on 120 receptions (just 10.5 YPR) this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS skill players. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 9.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 73 of 266 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 16%.

Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 73 of 266 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 73 of 266 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Indiana opponents has averaged 58.0 Passing Attempts per TD (290 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 23.2

Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 163 of 646 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Wisconsin Offensive Stats & Trends

Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 73 of 266 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 16%.

Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 73 of 266 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 73 of 266 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Indiana opponents has averaged 58.0 Passing Attempts per TD (290 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 23.2

Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 163 of 646 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Indiana Offensive Stats & Trends

Wisconsin’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.5% of 215 attempts this season — 7th-worst among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.9% of attempts this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin WRs averaged 24.7 yards per reception (222 yards/9 catches) in short yardage situations last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.7

Wisconsin’s WRs has gained 791 yards on 69 receptions (just 11.5 YPR) this season — T-21st-worst among FBS WRs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 9.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Wisconsin’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.5% of 215 attempts this season — 7th-worst among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.9% of attempts this season — T-4th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Wisconsin has gained 1,265 yards on 120 receptions (just 10.5 YPR) this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS skill players. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 9.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Wisconsin Defensive Stats & Trends

Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 73 of 266 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 16%.

Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 73 of 266 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 73 of 266 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Indiana opponents has averaged 58.0 Passing Attempts per TD (290 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 23.2

Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 163 of 646 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Indiana Defensive Stats & Trends

Wisconsin’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.5% of 215 attempts this season — 7th-worst among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.9% of attempts this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin WRs averaged 24.7 yards per reception (222 yards/9 catches) in short yardage situations last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.7

Wisconsin’s WRs has gained 791 yards on 69 receptions (just 11.5 YPR) this season — T-21st-worst among FBS WRs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 9.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Wisconsin’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.5% of 215 attempts this season — 7th-worst among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.9% of attempts this season — T-4th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Wisconsin has gained 1,265 yards on 120 receptions (just 10.5 YPR) this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS skill players. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 9.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.


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