- Alabama is a -20.5 point favorite vs. Wisconsin
- Wisconsin vs. Alabama Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC
Wisconsin (2-0) visit Bryant-Denny Stadium to take on Alabama (1-1) on Sep. 13 in Tuscaloosa, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Alabama is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -20.5 (-115).
The Wisconsin vs. Alabama Over/Under is 46.5 total points.
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Wisconsin vs. Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Wisconsin | ++20.5 -105 | 46.5 -110 | 800 |
| Alabama | -20.5 -115 | 46.5 -110 | -1400 |
Wisconsin vs Alabama Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 84.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Wisconsin and Alabama, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Wisconsin vs Alabama Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wisconsin will cover the spread with 58.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Wisconsin Best Bets Today
- Wisconsin has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+8.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
- Wisconsin have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.70 Units / 37% ROI)
Alabama Best Bets Today
- Alabama has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- Alabama have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Alabama have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Wisconsin is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Wisconsin is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 2.23% ROI
- Wisconsin is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Wisconsin is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Alabama iss 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Alabama is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -100% ROI
- Alabama is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Alabama is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Wisconsin: Keys to the Game vs. Alabama
Wisconsin was winless (0-5) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498
Wisconsin was winless (0-5) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Wisconsin is 1-6 (.143) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .420
Wisconsin was 1-2 (.333) when in a one score game last season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514
Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Wisconsin
Alabama was 6-3 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .429
Alabama is undefeated (10-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .700
Alabama was 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .618
Alabama was 8-1 (.889) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-14th-best in FBS; Average: .628
Matchup Notes for Wisconsin vs. Alabama
Alabama’s WRs has averaged 15.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-12th-best among FBS WRs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 11.1 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.
Alabama’s WRs has averaged 15.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-4th-best among SEC WRs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 11.1 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.
Alabama’s QBs has thrown for 625 passing yards in 2 games (312.5 YPG) this season — 19th-best among FBS teams. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 145.5 passing yards per game this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin’s TEs has 10 receptions in 2 games (5.0 per game) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten TEs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 9.5 receptions per game this season — T-best among SEC defenses.
Wisconsin’s TEs has 10 receptions in 2 games (5.0 per game) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten TEs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 9.5 receptions per game this season — T-best among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.3% of 424 attempts since the 2024 season — 11th-worst among FBS offenses. Alabama’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.5% of attempts since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among SEC defenses.
Wisconsin Offensive Stats & Trends
Wisconsin’s TEs has 10 receptions in 2 games (5.0 per game) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten TEs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 9.5 receptions per game this season — T-best among SEC defenses.
Wisconsin’s TEs has 10 receptions in 2 games (5.0 per game) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten TEs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 9.5 receptions per game this season — T-best among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.3% of 424 attempts since the 2024 season — 11th-worst among FBS offenses. Alabama’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.5% of attempts since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among SEC defenses.
Wisconsin Skill Players averaged 21.5 yards per reception (86 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 8.5
Wisconsin’s TEs has gained 379 yards on 43 receptions (just 8.8 YPR) since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten TEs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.
Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends
Alabama WRs averaged 29.0 yards per reception (348 yards/12 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.8
Alabama Skill Players averaged 20.7 yards per reception (497 yards/24 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.1
Alabama WRs have averaged 26.4 yards per reception (422 yards/16 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.5
Alabama QBs had 20 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go in the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Alabama WRs averaged 27.4 yards per reception (494 yards/18 catches) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.5
Wisconsin Defensive Stats & Trends
Wisconsin intercepted 4 of 323 attempts (80.8 pass attempts per int.) last season– 2nd-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 36.1
Wisconsin did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2
Wisconsin intercepted 4 of 323 attempts (80.8 pass attempts per int.) last season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 34.9
Wisconsin did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
Wisconsin tackled opponents for a loss on just 44 of 428 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 16%.
Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends
Alabama has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 2 of 14 attempts (14%) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 1%
Alabama has allowed 4 rushing TDs this season– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams
Alabama has allowed 4 rushing TDs this season– most in the SEC
Alabama has allowed a Completion Pct of 88% (7 completions/8 attempts) in the 1st half this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 54%
Alabama has allowed 16.9 yards per completion (152 yards/9 completions) this season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 10.6
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