Western Kentucky vs Southern Miss Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ New Orleans Bowl

Balls lie on the field before an NCAA college football game between Mississippi and Vanderbilt on Thursday, Aug. 29, 2013, in Nashville, Tenn.
(AP Photo/Mark Humphrey)
  • Western Kentucky is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Southern Miss
  • Western Kentucky vs. Southern Mississippi Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN

Western Kentucky (8-4) visit Caesars Superdome to take on Southern Mississippi (7-5) on Dec. 23 in New Orleans, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 5:30pm EST.

Western Kentucky is a betting favorite in the New Orleans Bowl, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Western Kentucky vs. Southern Mississippi Over/Under is 57.5 total points.

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Western Kentucky vs. Southern Mississippi Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Western Kentucky-2.5 -11557.5 -110-150
Southern Mississippi +2.5 -10557.5 -110125

Western Kentucky vs Southern Mississippi Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Western Kentucky will win this game with 60.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Western Kentucky and Southern Miss, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Western Kentucky vs Southern Mississippi Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Southern Miss will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Western Kentucky have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+5.05 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky have covered the 1H Spread in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Southern Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.75 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Southern Miss has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Southern Miss has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Southern Miss have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Southern Miss has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.75 Units / 25% ROI)

Western Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Western Kentucky is 9-3 against the spread this college football season (+5.7 Units / 43.18% ROI).

  • Western Kentucky is 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / 3.98% ROI
  • Western Kentucky is 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Western Kentucky is 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI

Southern Mississippi Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Southern Miss iss against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Southern Mississippi is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Southern Mississippi is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Southern Mississippi is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Western Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Southern Mississippi

Western Kentucky’s WRs has averaged 26.3 targets per game this season — 11th-highest among FBS WRs. Southern Miss’s defense has allowed 13.8 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.

Western Kentucky’s RBs has averaged just 5.7 yards after the catch this season — T-14th-worst among FBS RBs. Southern Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.5 RAC this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Western Kentucky have averaged 26.5 receptions per game (265/10) this season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.3

Western Kentucky WRs have 42 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Western Kentucky WRs have averaged 17.8 receptions per game (178/10) this season– 6th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6

Southern Mississippi: Keys to the Game vs. Western Kentucky

Southern Miss has averaged 2.00 interceptions per game (20/10) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.80

Southern Miss has not recorded a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4

Southern Miss has not recorded a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.7

Southern Miss has 20 interceptions this season– most in FBS

Southern Miss forced 3 fumbles on 474 carries (158.0 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 43.4

Matchup Notes for Western Kentucky vs. Southern Mississippi

Southern Miss has averaged 2.00 interceptions per game (20/10) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.80

Southern Miss has not recorded a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4

Southern Miss has not recorded a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.7

Southern Miss has 20 interceptions this season– most in FBS

Southern Miss forced 3 fumbles on 474 carries (158.0 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 43.4

Western Kentucky’s WRs has averaged 26.3 targets per game this season — 11th-highest among FBS WRs. Southern Miss’s defense has allowed 13.8 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.

Western Kentucky’s RBs has averaged just 5.7 yards after the catch this season — T-14th-worst among FBS RBs. Southern Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.5 RAC this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Western Kentucky have averaged 26.5 receptions per game (265/10) this season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.3

Western Kentucky WRs have 42 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Western Kentucky WRs have averaged 17.8 receptions per game (178/10) this season– 6th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6

Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends

Western Kentucky’s WRs has averaged 26.3 targets per game this season — 11th-highest among FBS WRs. Southern Miss’s defense has allowed 13.8 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.

Western Kentucky’s RBs has averaged just 5.7 yards after the catch this season — T-14th-worst among FBS RBs. Southern Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.5 RAC this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Western Kentucky have averaged 26.5 receptions per game (265/10) this season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.3

Western Kentucky WRs have 42 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Western Kentucky WRs have averaged 17.8 receptions per game (178/10) this season– 6th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6

Southern Mississippi Offensive Stats & Trends

Southern Miss has averaged 2.00 interceptions per game (20/10) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.80

Southern Miss has not recorded a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4

Southern Miss has not recorded a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.7

Southern Miss has 20 interceptions this season– most in FBS

Southern Miss forced 3 fumbles on 474 carries (158.0 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 43.4

Western Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends

Western Kentucky’s WRs has averaged 26.3 targets per game this season — 11th-highest among FBS WRs. Southern Miss’s defense has allowed 13.8 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.

Western Kentucky’s RBs has averaged just 5.7 yards after the catch this season — T-14th-worst among FBS RBs. Southern Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.5 RAC this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Western Kentucky have averaged 26.5 receptions per game (265/10) this season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.3

Western Kentucky WRs have 42 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Western Kentucky WRs have averaged 17.8 receptions per game (178/10) this season– 6th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6

Southern Mississippi Defensive Stats & Trends

Southern Miss has averaged 2.00 interceptions per game (20/10) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.80

Southern Miss has not recorded a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4

Southern Miss has not recorded a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.7

Southern Miss has 20 interceptions this season– most in FBS

Southern Miss forced 3 fumbles on 474 carries (158.0 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 43.4


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