Western Kentucky vs Delaware Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

BetMGM Betting Oct 02, 2025, 2:36 PM

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(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)

Delaware is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky vs. Delaware Total (Over/Under): 61.5 points
TV Channel: CBSN

Western Kentucky (4-1) visit Delaware Stadium to take on Delaware (3-1) on Oct. 3 in Newark, DE. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.

Delaware is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Western Kentucky vs. Delaware Over/Under is 61.5 total points.

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Western Kentucky vs. Delaware Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Western Kentucky	+2.5 -105	61.5 -105	120
Delaware	-2.5 -115	61.5 -115	-145

Western Kentucky vs Delaware Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Delaware will win this game with 65.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Western Kentucky and Delaware, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Western Kentucky vs Delaware Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Delaware will cover the spread with 59.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Western Kentucky Best Bets Today

Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.50 Units / 31% ROI)
Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.60 Units / 12% ROI)
Western Kentucky has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.30 Units / 8% ROI)
Western Kentucky has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Western Kentucky has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.90 Units / 16% ROI)

Delaware Best Bets Today

Delaware has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+4.30 Units / 8% ROI)
Delaware has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+3.25 Units / 8% ROI)
Delaware has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
Delaware have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.90 Units / 42% ROI)
Delaware has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.72 Units / 35% ROI)

Western Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Western Kentucky is 4-1 against the spread this college football season (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).

Western Kentucky is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 6.75% ROI
Western Kentucky is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
Western Kentucky is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI

Delaware Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Delaware iss 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

Delaware is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 8.11% ROI
Delaware is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
Delaware is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI

Western Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Delaware

Delaware WRs have averaged 21.0 yards per reception (315 yards/15 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2

Delaware’s WRs has 69 receptions in 4 games (17.2 per game) since the 2024 season — T-9th-best among FBS WRs. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 14.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — best among FBS defenses.

Delaware has 95 receptions in 4 games (23.8 per game) since the 2024 season — T-12th-best among FBS skill players. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 14.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — best among FBS defenses.

Delaware TEs have no touchdowns on 11 receptions since the 2024 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.5

Delaware have been targeted 148 times since the 2024 season– fewest among FBS Offenses

Delaware: Keys to the Game vs. Western Kentucky

Delaware has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 9 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

Delaware has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 9 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Delaware has allowed first downs on 51% of pass attempts on 3rd down since the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 35%

Delaware has allowed 2.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (57 yards / 26 touches) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– best in FBS; Average: 3.7

Delaware has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 11 of their 146 carries (7%) since the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4%

Matchup Notes for Western Kentucky vs. Delaware