West Virginia vs Kansas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 4

Kansas head coach Lance Leipold during the first half of the Guaranteed Rate Bowl NCAA college football game against UNLV. Tuesday, Dec. 26, 2023, in Phoenix. (AP Photo/Rick Scuteri)
(AP Photo/Rick Scuteri)
  • Kansas is a -13.5 point favorite vs. West Virginia
  • West Virginia vs. Kansas Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
  • TV Channel: FS1

West Virginia (2-1) visit David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium to take on Kansas (2-1) on Sep. 20 in Lawrence, KS. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT.

Kansas is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The West Virginia vs. Kansas Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

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West Virginia vs. Kansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
West Virginia+13.5 -11055.5 -110400
Kansas -13.5 -11055.5 -110-550

West Virginia vs Kansas Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Kansas will win this game with 74.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both West Virginia and Kansas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

West Virginia vs Kansas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas will cover the spread with 56.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • West Virginia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.97 Units / 50% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+3.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+2.05 Units / 2% ROI)
  • West Virginia have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Kansas have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.80 Units / 3% ROI)

West Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

West Virginia is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • West Virginia is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 5.61% ROI
  • West Virginia is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
  • West Virginia is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI

Kansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas iss 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -35.29% ROI).

  • Kansas is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Kansas is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Kansas is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

West Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas

West Virginia is undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .696

West Virginia was 2-6 (.250) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

West Virginia is 3-8 (.273) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2024 season– 13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .465

West Virginia was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498

Kansas: Keys to the Game vs. West Virginia

Kansas is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .471

Kansas was 2-6 (.250) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– 14th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .451

Kansas is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .426

Kansas is 1-3 (.250) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– 10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .486

Matchup Notes for West Virginia vs. Kansas

Kansas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.8% of 390 attempts since the 2024 season — 9th-best among FBS offenses. West Virginia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.0% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kansas has gained 3,250 yards on 235 receptions (13.8 YPR) since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Power 5 skill players. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 13.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — worst among P5 defenses.

Kansas’s TEs has gained 216 yards on 17 receptions (12.7 YPR) this season — 4th-best among Big 12 TEs. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 35th-worst among FBS defenses.

West Virginia has 22 receiving touchdowns since the 2024 season — 4th-fewest among Big 12 skill players. Kansas’s defense has allowed 29 receiving touchdowns since the 2024 season — 3rd-most among Big 12 defenses.

West Virginia has 22 receiving touchdowns since the 2024 season — 4th-fewest among Big 12 skill players. Kansas’s defense has allowed 29 receiving touchdowns since the 2024 season — T-5th-most among P5 defenses.

West Virginia have just 212.7 receiving yards per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big 12 skill players. Kansas’s defense has allowed 231.5 receiving yards per game since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

West Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends

West Virginia TEs were targeted 4 times in the 4th quarter last week– most among Big 12 Teams

West Virginia WRs have just one touchdown on 33 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 8.8

West Virginia TEs were targeted 4 times in the 4th quarter last week– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams

West Virginia Skill Players had 10 receptions in close and late situations last week– 2nd-most among Power Conference Teams

West Virginia Skill Players have averaged just 2.0 yards per reception (2 yards/1 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.6

Kansas Offensive Stats & Trends

Kansas Skill Players averaged 31.5 yards per reception (189 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.2

Kansas Skill Players averaged 31.5 yards per reception (189 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.7

Kansas Skill Players have averaged 31.5 yards per reception (189 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.7

Kansas WRs have averaged 41.0 yards per reception (123 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.3

Kansas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.8% of 390 attempts since the 2024 season — 9th-best among FBS offenses. West Virginia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.0% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.

West Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends

West Virginia allowed 5.2 touchdowns per interception (26 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 1.7

West Virginia did not record a sack (47 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

West Virginia allowed 5.2 touchdowns per interception (26 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.6

West Virginia averaged 0.38 interceptions per game (5/13) last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 0.94

West Virginia allowed passes of 40+ yards on 19 of 386 attempts (5%) last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 2%

Kansas Defensive Stats & Trends

Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest in the Big 12; Average: 9%

Kansas has allowed a Completion Pct of 83% (10 completions/12 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 57%

Kansas allowed 10 rushing TDs on 412 carries (41.2 Carries Per TD) last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 23.8

Kansas has tackled opponents for a loss on 21 of 104 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) this season– 3rd-best in the Big 12; Average: 17%.

Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%


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