Washington vs Wisconsin Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 11

Wisconsin head coach Luke Fickell reacts during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Northwestern Saturday, Nov. 11, 2023, in Madison, Wis. (AP Photo/Morry Gash)
(AP Photo/Morry Gash)
  • Washington is a -11.5 point favorite vs. Wisconsin
  • Washington vs. Wisconsin Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
  • TV Channel: BTN

Washington (6-2) visit Camp Randall Stadium to take on Wisconsin (2-6) on Nov. 8 in Madison, WI. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30pm EST.

Washington is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Washington vs. Wisconsin Over/Under is 45.5 total points.

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Washington vs. Wisconsin Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Washington-11.5 -11045.5 -110-450
Wisconsin +11.5 -11045.5 -110350

Washington vs Wisconsin Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Washington will win this game with 77.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Washington and Wisconsin, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Washington vs Wisconsin Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wisconsin will cover the spread with 50.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Washington has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.85 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.50 Units / 29% ROI)

Washington Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Washington is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.6% ROI).

  • Washington is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 4.7% ROI
  • Washington is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -3.45% ROI
  • Washington is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.49% ROI

Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wisconsin iss 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).

  • Wisconsin is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -10.09% ROI
  • Wisconsin is 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
  • Wisconsin is 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI

Washington: Keys to the Game vs. Wisconsin

Wisconsin has forced one fumble on 238 carries this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 48.5

Wisconsin has forced one fumble on 238 carries this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 49.0

Wisconsin intercepted 4 of 323 attempts (80.8 pass attempts per int.) last season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 34.9

Wisconsin did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Wisconsin did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2

Wisconsin: Keys to the Game vs. Washington

Wisconsin Skill Players averaged 21.5 yards per reception (86 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 8.5

Wisconsin WRs averaged 24.7 yards per reception (222 yards/9 catches) in short yardage situations last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.7

Wisconsin has gained 1,217 yards on 114 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) this season — T-29th-worst among FBS skill players. Washington’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin has averaged just 11.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-31st-worst among FBS skill players. Washington’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC since the 2024 season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin has gained 1,217 yards on 114 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Washington’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Matchup Notes for Washington vs. Wisconsin

Wisconsin Skill Players averaged 21.5 yards per reception (86 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 8.5

Wisconsin WRs averaged 24.7 yards per reception (222 yards/9 catches) in short yardage situations last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.7

Wisconsin has gained 1,217 yards on 114 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) this season — T-29th-worst among FBS skill players. Washington’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin has averaged just 11.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-31st-worst among FBS skill players. Washington’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC since the 2024 season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin has gained 1,217 yards on 114 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Washington’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin has forced one fumble on 238 carries this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 48.5

Wisconsin has forced one fumble on 238 carries this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 49.0

Wisconsin intercepted 4 of 323 attempts (80.8 pass attempts per int.) last season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 34.9

Wisconsin did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Wisconsin did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2

Washington Offensive Stats & Trends

Wisconsin has forced one fumble on 238 carries this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 48.5

Wisconsin has forced one fumble on 238 carries this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 49.0

Wisconsin intercepted 4 of 323 attempts (80.8 pass attempts per int.) last season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 34.9

Wisconsin did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Wisconsin did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2

Wisconsin Offensive Stats & Trends

Wisconsin Skill Players averaged 21.5 yards per reception (86 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 8.5

Wisconsin WRs averaged 24.7 yards per reception (222 yards/9 catches) in short yardage situations last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.7

Wisconsin has gained 1,217 yards on 114 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) this season — T-29th-worst among FBS skill players. Washington’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin has averaged just 11.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-31st-worst among FBS skill players. Washington’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC since the 2024 season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin has gained 1,217 yards on 114 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Washington’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington Defensive Stats & Trends

Wisconsin has forced one fumble on 238 carries this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 48.5

Wisconsin has forced one fumble on 238 carries this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 49.0

Wisconsin intercepted 4 of 323 attempts (80.8 pass attempts per int.) last season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 34.9

Wisconsin did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Wisconsin did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2

Wisconsin Defensive Stats & Trends

Wisconsin Skill Players averaged 21.5 yards per reception (86 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 8.5

Wisconsin WRs averaged 24.7 yards per reception (222 yards/9 catches) in short yardage situations last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.7

Wisconsin has gained 1,217 yards on 114 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) this season — T-29th-worst among FBS skill players. Washington’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin has averaged just 11.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-31st-worst among FBS skill players. Washington’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC since the 2024 season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin has gained 1,217 yards on 114 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Washington’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.


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