Washington vs Washington St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 4

Nike logo dorns a football in the second half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Nov. 28, 2020, in Boulder, Colo. Colorado won 20-10. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
  • Washington is a -19.5 point favorite vs. Washington St
  • Washington vs. Washington State Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBS | PAR+

Washington (2-0) visit Gesa Field to take on Washington State (2-1) on Sep. 20 in Pullman, WA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Washington is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -19.5 (-110).

The Washington vs. Washington State Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

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Washington vs. Washington State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Washington-19.5 -11052.5 -110-1400
Washington State +19.5 -11052.5 -110800

Washington vs Washington State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Washington will win this game with 85.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Washington and Washington St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Washington vs Washington State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Washington will cover the spread with 56.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Washington has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+6.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Washington State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)

Washington Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Washington is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.76% ROI).

  • Washington is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 3.17% ROI
  • Washington is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Washington is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Washington State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Washington St iss 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Washington State is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 10.26% ROI
  • Washington State is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Washington State is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI

Washington: Keys to the Game vs. Washington State

Washington was 11-1 (.917) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .420

Washington is 4-7 (.364) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .527

Washington was undefeated (11-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times in the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .623

Washington was undefeated (7-0) when rushing more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .622

Washington State: Keys to the Game vs. Washington

Washington State is 8-2 (.800) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .530

Washington State is 8-2 (.800) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .591

Washington State was 6-3 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Washington State was undefeated (6-0) when rushing more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .622

Matchup Notes for Washington vs. Washington State

Washington State’s WRs has 268 receptions in 16 games (16.8 per game) since the 2024 season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. Washington’s defense has allowed just 16.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-best among Big Ten defenses.

Washington State’s QBs has thrown for 4,265 passing yards in 16 games (266.6 YPG) since the 2024 season — 22nd-best among FBS teams. Washington’s defense has allowed just 165.8 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Washington State’s offense has thrown for 4,265 passing yards in 16 games (266.6 YPG) since the 2024 season — T-24th-best among FBS offenses. Washington’s defense has allowed just 165.8 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.

Washington’s WRs has 229 receptions in 15 games (15.3 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Big Ten WRs. Washington State’s defense has allowed 22.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among P5 defenses.

Washington’s WRs has 229 receptions in 15 games (15.3 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Big Ten WRs. Washington State’s defense has allowed 4.1 receptions per game to TEs since the 2024 season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington has gained 530 yards on 37 receptions (14.3 YPR) this season — T-14th-best among FBS skill players. Washington State’s defense has allowed just 7.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.

Washington Offensive Stats & Trends

Washington have averaged 33.2 yards per completion (133 yards/4 completions) on 3rd down this season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.7

Washington’s WRs has 229 receptions in 15 games (15.3 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Big Ten WRs. Washington State’s defense has allowed 22.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among P5 defenses.

Washington’s WRs has 229 receptions in 15 games (15.3 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Big Ten WRs. Washington State’s defense has allowed 4.1 receptions per game to TEs since the 2024 season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington has gained 530 yards on 37 receptions (14.3 YPR) this season — T-14th-best among FBS skill players. Washington State’s defense has allowed just 7.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.

Washington has gained 530 yards on 37 receptions (14.3 YPR) this season — T-14th-best among FBS skill players. Washington State’s defense has allowed just 7.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.

Washington State Offensive Stats & Trends

Washington State’s WRs has 268 receptions in 16 games (16.8 per game) since the 2024 season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. Washington’s defense has allowed just 16.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-best among Big Ten defenses.

Washington State’s QBs has thrown for 4,265 passing yards in 16 games (266.6 YPG) since the 2024 season — 22nd-best among FBS teams. Washington’s defense has allowed just 165.8 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Washington State’s offense has thrown for 4,265 passing yards in 16 games (266.6 YPG) since the 2024 season — T-24th-best among FBS offenses. Washington’s defense has allowed just 165.8 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.

Washington State’s TEs has 29 receptions in 15 games (just 1.9 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among P5 TEs. Washington’s defense has allowed 4.3 receptions per game to TEs since the 2024 season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.1% of 506 attempts since the 2024 season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. Washington’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.8% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington Defensive Stats & Trends

Washington has allowed opponents to catch just 3 of 9 passes (33% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 55%

Washington has allowed a Completion Pct of just 33% (3 completions/9 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 54%

Washington averaged a sack every 26.3 pass attempts (579 Pass Attempts/22 Sacks) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 13.3

Washington has allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (8 completions/21 attempts) on 1st down this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 63%

Washington has tackled opponents for a loss on just 59 of 512 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 17%.

Washington State Defensive Stats & Trends

Washington State has no interceptions and 5 TD passes allowed this season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.6

Washington State allowed 8 TDs in the Red Zone last week– most among Power Conference Teams

Washington State has no interceptions (84 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 38.5

Washington State allowed 4 TD passes last week– T-most among Power Conference Teams

Washington State has no interceptions (84 pass attempts) this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 35.7


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