Washington vs Maryland Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 6

Maryland head coach Mike Locksley looks on during pre-game warm-ups before an NCAA college football game against Indiana, Saturday, Sept. 30, 2023, in College Park, Md. (AP Photo/Terrance Williams)
(AP Photo/Terrance Williams)
  • Washington is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Maryland
  • Washington vs. Maryland Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
  • TV Channel: BTN

Washington (3-1) visit SECU Stadium to take on Maryland (4-0) on Oct. 4 in College Park, MD. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Washington is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Washington vs. Maryland Over/Under is 53.5 total points.

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Washington vs. Maryland Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Washington-6.5 -11053.5 -110-235
Maryland +6.5 -11053.5 -110190

Washington vs Maryland Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Washington will win this game with 81.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Washington and Maryland, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Washington vs Maryland Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Maryland will cover the spread with 75.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Washington has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)

Washington Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Washington is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.65% ROI).

  • Washington is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 2.6% ROI
  • Washington is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • Washington is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

Maryland Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Maryland iss 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Maryland is 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.15 Units / 9.73% ROI
  • Maryland is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
  • Maryland is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI

Washington: Keys to the Game vs. Maryland

Washington was 11-1 (.917) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .420

Washington was undefeated (13-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .596

Washington is 1-6 (.143) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .495

Washington was undefeated (7-0) when rushing more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .665

Maryland: Keys to the Game vs. Washington

Maryland has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 15 rushing attempts (40% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: 14%.

Maryland has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 15 rushing attempts (40% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Maryland has averaged 2.00 interceptions per game (8/4) this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 0.78

Maryland allowed first downs on 41% of pass attempts in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 22%

Maryland has allowed one rushing TD on 148 carries this season– 5th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 31.8

Matchup Notes for Washington vs. Maryland

Maryland has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 15 rushing attempts (40% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: 14%.

Maryland has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 15 rushing attempts (40% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Maryland has averaged 2.00 interceptions per game (8/4) this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 0.78

Maryland allowed first downs on 41% of pass attempts in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 22%

Maryland has allowed one rushing TD on 148 carries this season– 5th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 31.8

Washington was 11-1 (.917) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .420

Washington was undefeated (13-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .596

Washington is 1-6 (.143) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .495

Washington was undefeated (7-0) when rushing more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .665

Washington Offensive Stats & Trends

Washington was 11-1 (.917) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .420

Washington was undefeated (13-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .596

Washington is 1-6 (.143) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .495

Washington was undefeated (7-0) when rushing more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .665

Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends

Maryland has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 15 rushing attempts (40% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: 14%.

Maryland has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 15 rushing attempts (40% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Maryland has averaged 2.00 interceptions per game (8/4) this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 0.78

Maryland allowed first downs on 41% of pass attempts in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 22%

Maryland has allowed one rushing TD on 148 carries this season– 5th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 31.8

Washington Defensive Stats & Trends

Washington was 11-1 (.917) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .420

Washington was undefeated (13-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .596

Washington is 1-6 (.143) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .495

Washington was undefeated (7-0) when rushing more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .665

Maryland Defensive Stats & Trends

Maryland has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 15 rushing attempts (40% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: 14%.

Maryland has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 15 rushing attempts (40% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Maryland has averaged 2.00 interceptions per game (8/4) this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 0.78

Maryland allowed first downs on 41% of pass attempts in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 22%

Maryland has allowed one rushing TD on 148 carries this season– 5th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 31.8


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