Wake Forest vs Florida St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 10

Florida State head coach Mike Norvell enters the field before an NCAA college football game against Pittsburgh in Pittsburgh, Saturday, Nov. 4, 2023. (AP Photo/Matt Freed)
(AP Photo/Matt Freed)
  • Florida St is a -9.5 point favorite vs. Wake Forest
  • Wake Forest vs. Florida State Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
  • TV Channel: ACCN

Wake Forest (5-2) visit Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium to take on Florida State (3-4) on Nov. 1 in Tallahassee, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Florida St is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Wake Forest vs. Florida State Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

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Wake Forest vs. Florida State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Wake Forest+9.5 -11050.5 -110270
Florida State -9.5 -11050.5 -110-350

Wake Forest vs Florida State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Florida State will win this game with 71.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Wake Forest and Florida St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Wake Forest vs Florida State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wake Forest will cover the spread with 52.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Wake Forest has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+8.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Wake Forest have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Wake Forest have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+1.85 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.54 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games at home (+1.00 Units / 1% ROI)

Wake Forest Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wake Forest is 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI).

  • Wake Forest is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.45 Units / 18.74% ROI
  • Wake Forest is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.15% ROI
  • Wake Forest is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.45 Units / -18.71% ROI

Florida State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida St iss 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).

  • Florida State is 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.05 Units / -69.05% ROI
  • Florida State is 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
  • Florida State is 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI

Wake Forest: Keys to the Game vs. Florida State

Florida State was winless (0-4) when in a one score game last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Florida State was winless (0-8) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .451

Florida State was winless (0-8) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Florida State is winless (0-11) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .385

Florida State: Keys to the Game vs. Wake Forest

Wake Forest’s WRs has gained 1,320 yards on 81 receptions (16.3 YPR) this season — 4th-best among Power 5 WRs. Florida State’s defense has allowed 12.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.

Wake Forest’s WRs has gained 1,320 yards on 81 receptions (16.3 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among ACC WRs. Florida State’s defense has allowed 12.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.

Wake Forest’s WRs has gained 1,320 yards on 81 receptions (16.3 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among ACC WRs. Florida State’s defense has allowed 13.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Matchup Notes for Wake Forest vs. Florida State

Wake Forest’s WRs has gained 1,320 yards on 81 receptions (16.3 YPR) this season — 4th-best among Power 5 WRs. Florida State’s defense has allowed 12.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.

Wake Forest’s WRs has gained 1,320 yards on 81 receptions (16.3 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among ACC WRs. Florida State’s defense has allowed 12.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.

Wake Forest’s WRs has gained 1,320 yards on 81 receptions (16.3 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among ACC WRs. Florida State’s defense has allowed 13.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida State was winless (0-4) when in a one score game last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Florida State was winless (0-8) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .451

Florida State was winless (0-8) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Florida State is winless (0-11) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .385

Wake Forest Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida State was winless (0-4) when in a one score game last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Florida State was winless (0-8) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .451

Florida State was winless (0-8) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Florida State is winless (0-11) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .385

Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends

Wake Forest’s WRs has gained 1,320 yards on 81 receptions (16.3 YPR) this season — 4th-best among Power 5 WRs. Florida State’s defense has allowed 12.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.

Wake Forest’s WRs has gained 1,320 yards on 81 receptions (16.3 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among ACC WRs. Florida State’s defense has allowed 12.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.

Wake Forest’s WRs has gained 1,320 yards on 81 receptions (16.3 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among ACC WRs. Florida State’s defense has allowed 13.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wake Forest Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida State was winless (0-4) when in a one score game last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Florida State was winless (0-8) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .451

Florida State was winless (0-8) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Florida State is winless (0-11) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .385

Florida State Defensive Stats & Trends

Wake Forest’s WRs has gained 1,320 yards on 81 receptions (16.3 YPR) this season — 4th-best among Power 5 WRs. Florida State’s defense has allowed 12.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.

Wake Forest’s WRs has gained 1,320 yards on 81 receptions (16.3 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among ACC WRs. Florida State’s defense has allowed 12.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.

Wake Forest’s WRs has gained 1,320 yards on 81 receptions (16.3 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among ACC WRs. Florida State’s defense has allowed 13.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.


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