- W Michigan is a -14 point favorite vs. Massachusetts
- Western Michigan vs. Massachusetts Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
Western Michigan (2-3) visit Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium to take on Massachusetts (0-4) on Oct. 4 in Amherst, MA. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:30pm EDT.
W Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -14 (-110).
The Western Michigan vs. Massachusetts Over/Under is 46.5 total points.
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Western Michigan vs. Massachusetts Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Western Michigan | -14 -110 | 46.5 -115 | -625 |
| Massachusetts | +14 -110 | 46.5 -105 | 450 |
Western Michigan vs Massachusetts Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Western Michigan will win this game with 76.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both W Michigan and Massachusetts, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Western Michigan vs Massachusetts Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UMass will cover the spread with 57.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Western Michigan Best Bets Today
- Western Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- Western Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- Western Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Western Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Western Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+1.65 Units / 5% ROI)
Massachusetts Best Bets Today
- Massachusetts has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+5.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Massachusetts has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- Massachusetts have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- Massachusetts has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Massachusetts has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.63 Units / 24% ROI)
Western Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
W Michigan is 4-1 against the spread this college football season (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).
- Western Michigan is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 28.15% ROI
- Western Michigan is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Western Michigan is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
Massachusetts Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Massachusetts iss 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.35 Units / -52.81% ROI).
- Massachusetts is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.6 Units / -100% ROI
- Massachusetts is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Massachusetts is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
Western Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Massachusetts
Western Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on just 7 of 93 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Western Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on just 7 of 93 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
Western Michigan tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 66 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Western Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 27 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.
Western Michigan allowed 13.7 yards per completion (2,894 yards/211 completions) last season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: 11.8
Massachusetts: Keys to the Game vs. Western Michigan
Western Michigan have thrown one TD on 104 pass attempts this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.0
Western Michigan’s offense has thrown for 567 passing yards in 4 games (just 141.8 YPG) this season — 9th-worst among FBS offenses. UMass’s defense has allowed 276.0 passing yards per game this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Western Michigan’s WRs has 134 receptions in 17 games (just 7.9 per game) since the 2024 season — 10th-worst among FBS WRs. UMass’s defense has allowed just 14.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Western Michigan have thrown 0 TDs on 30 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.3
Western Michigan WRs have no touchdowns on 28 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.8
Matchup Notes for Western Michigan vs. Massachusetts
Western Michigan have thrown one TD on 104 pass attempts this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.0
Western Michigan’s offense has thrown for 567 passing yards in 4 games (just 141.8 YPG) this season — 9th-worst among FBS offenses. UMass’s defense has allowed 276.0 passing yards per game this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Western Michigan’s WRs has 134 receptions in 17 games (just 7.9 per game) since the 2024 season — 10th-worst among FBS WRs. UMass’s defense has allowed just 14.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Western Michigan have thrown 0 TDs on 30 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.3
Western Michigan WRs have no touchdowns on 28 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.8
Western Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on just 7 of 93 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Western Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on just 7 of 93 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
Western Michigan tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 66 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Western Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 27 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.
Western Michigan allowed 13.7 yards per completion (2,894 yards/211 completions) last season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: 11.8
Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends
Western Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on just 7 of 93 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Western Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on just 7 of 93 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
Western Michigan tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 66 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Western Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 27 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.
Western Michigan allowed 13.7 yards per completion (2,894 yards/211 completions) last season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: 11.8
Massachusetts Offensive Stats & Trends
Western Michigan have thrown one TD on 104 pass attempts this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.0
Western Michigan’s offense has thrown for 567 passing yards in 4 games (just 141.8 YPG) this season — 9th-worst among FBS offenses. UMass’s defense has allowed 276.0 passing yards per game this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Western Michigan’s WRs has 134 receptions in 17 games (just 7.9 per game) since the 2024 season — 10th-worst among FBS WRs. UMass’s defense has allowed just 14.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Western Michigan have thrown 0 TDs on 30 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.3
Western Michigan WRs have no touchdowns on 28 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.8
Western Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends
Western Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on just 7 of 93 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Western Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on just 7 of 93 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
Western Michigan tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 66 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Western Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 27 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.
Western Michigan allowed 13.7 yards per completion (2,894 yards/211 completions) last season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: 11.8
Massachusetts Defensive Stats & Trends
Western Michigan have thrown one TD on 104 pass attempts this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.0
Western Michigan’s offense has thrown for 567 passing yards in 4 games (just 141.8 YPG) this season — 9th-worst among FBS offenses. UMass’s defense has allowed 276.0 passing yards per game this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Western Michigan’s WRs has 134 receptions in 17 games (just 7.9 per game) since the 2024 season — 10th-worst among FBS WRs. UMass’s defense has allowed just 14.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Western Michigan have thrown 0 TDs on 30 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.3
Western Michigan WRs have no touchdowns on 28 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.8
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