- Illinois is a -27.5 point favorite vs. W Michigan
- Western Michigan vs. Illinois Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- TV Channel: FS1
Western Michigan (0-2) visit Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL) to take on Illinois (2-0) on Sep. 13 in Champaign, IL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Illinois is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -27.5 (-110).
The Western Michigan vs. Illinois Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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Western Michigan vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Western Michigan | +27.5 -110 | 50.5 -110 | 2000 |
| Illinois | -27.5 -110 | 50.5 -110 | -10000 |
Western Michigan vs Illinois Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this game with 89.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both W Michigan and Illinois, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Western Michigan vs Illinois Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 64.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Western Michigan Best Bets Today
- Western Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- Western Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Western Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Illinois Best Bets Today
- Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Illinois have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 50% ROI)
Western Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
W Michigan is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Western Michigan is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
- Western Michigan is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Western Michigan is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Illinois iss 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Illinois is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 74.07% ROI
- Illinois is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Illinois is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Western Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Illinois
Western Michigan was 3-7 (.300) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .454
Western Michigan was 1-3 (.250) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .460
Western Michigan was 2-6 (.250) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .420
Western Michigan is 3-8 (.273) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: .464
Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Western Michigan
Illinois was 6-3 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .429
Illinois was 9-2 (.818) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .604
Illinois was 9-2 (.818) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .632
Illinois is undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .643
Matchup Notes for Western Michigan vs. Illinois
Illinois’s WRs has averaged 14.5 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Big Ten WRs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC since the 2024 season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.
Illinois has averaged 12.8 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Big Ten skill players. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC since the 2024 season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.
Illinois’s WRs has averaged 14.5 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Big Ten WRs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 14.4 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Western Michigan’s QBs has thrown for 275 passing yards in 2 games (just 137.5 YPG) this season — 16th-worst among FBS teams. Illinois’s defense has allowed 245.0 passing yards per game this season — T-31st-worst among FBS defenses.
Western Michigan’s WRs has gained 181 yards on 12 receptions (15.1 YPR) this season — T-32nd-best among FBS WRs. Illinois’s defense has allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Western Michigan’s offense has thrown for 275 passing yards in 2 games (just 137.5 YPG) this season — 16th-worst among FBS offenses. Illinois’s defense has allowed 245.0 passing yards per game this season — T-2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends
Western Michigan’s QBs has thrown for 275 passing yards in 2 games (just 137.5 YPG) this season — 16th-worst among FBS teams. Illinois’s defense has allowed 245.0 passing yards per game this season — T-31st-worst among FBS defenses.
Western Michigan’s WRs has gained 181 yards on 12 receptions (15.1 YPR) this season — T-32nd-best among FBS WRs. Illinois’s defense has allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Western Michigan’s offense has thrown for 275 passing yards in 2 games (just 137.5 YPG) this season — 16th-worst among FBS offenses. Illinois’s defense has allowed 245.0 passing yards per game this season — T-2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Western Michigan’s WRs has gained 181 yards on 12 receptions (15.1 YPR) this season — T-32nd-best among FBS WRs. Illinois’s defense has allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Western Michigan’s offense has thrown for 275 passing yards in 2 games (just 137.5 YPG) this season — 16th-worst among FBS offenses. Illinois’s defense has allowed 245.0 passing yards per game this season — T-31st-worst among FBS defenses.
Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends
Illinois TEs averaged 18.0 yards per reception (36 yards/2 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.1
Illinois TEs have averaged 18.0 yards per reception (36 yards/2 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.1
Illinois’s WRs has averaged 14.5 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Big Ten WRs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC since the 2024 season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.
Illinois has averaged 12.8 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Big Ten skill players. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC since the 2024 season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.
Illinois’s WRs has averaged 14.5 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Big Ten WRs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 14.4 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Western Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends
Western Michigan had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 35.4
Western Michigan has no interceptions (48 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.5
Western Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on 11 of 44 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) this season– T-18th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
Western Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on just 6 of 77 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
Western Michigan tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 66 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends
Illinois tackled opponents for a loss on just 48 of 441 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) last season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.
Illinois has allowed 10 rushing TDs on 76 carries (7.6 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 4.6
Illinois has tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 76 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Illinois has allowed a Completion Pct of just 48% (14 completions/29 attempts) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 59%
Illinois has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 40 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 9%.
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