Virginia Tech vs NC State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 5

North Carolina State head coach Dave Doeren watched his team during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Louisville in Louisville, Ky., Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022.
(AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)
  • NC State is a -10 point favorite vs. Virginia Tech
  • Virginia Tech vs. North Carolina State Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
  • TV Channel: CW

Virginia Tech (1-3) visit Carter-Finley Stadium to take on North Carolina State (3-1) on Sep. 27 in Raleigh, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.

NC State is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -10 (-110).

The Virginia Tech vs. North Carolina State Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

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Virginia Tech vs. North Carolina State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Virginia Tech+10 -11056.5 -105325
North Carolina State -10 -11056.5 -115-425

Virginia Tech vs North Carolina State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts North Carolina State will win this game with 76.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Virginia Tech and NC State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Virginia Tech vs North Carolina State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Virginia Tech will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Virginia Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.48 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)

Virginia Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Virginia Tech is 0-4 against the spread this college football season (-4.4 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Virginia Tech is 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -100% ROI
  • Virginia Tech is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Virginia Tech is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

North Carolina State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

NC State iss 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • North Carolina State is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 19.23% ROI
  • North Carolina State is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • North Carolina State is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

Virginia Tech: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina State

Virginia Tech has 283 receptions in 17 games (just 16.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 34th-worst among FBS skill players. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.

Virginia Tech has 283 receptions in 17 games (just 16.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among ACC skill players. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech’s WRs has 181 receptions in 17 games (just 10.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among ACC WRs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.

Virginia Tech has 283 receptions in 17 games (just 16.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among ACC skill players. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.

Virginia Tech RBs have been targeted 5 times in short yardage situations this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

North Carolina State: Keys to the Game vs. Virginia Tech

North Carolina State TEs had 7 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams

North Carolina State RBs averaged 8.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (816 yards / 94 touches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

North Carolina State’s WRs has gained 816 yards on 55 receptions (14.8 YPR) this season — T-34th-best among FBS WRs. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed 17.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 3rd-worst among FBS defenses.

North Carolina State’s WRs has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-14th-worst among FBS WRs. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed 12.9 RAC since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among P5 defenses.

North Carolina State RBs had 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams

Matchup Notes for Virginia Tech vs. North Carolina State

North Carolina State TEs had 7 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams

North Carolina State RBs averaged 8.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (816 yards / 94 touches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

North Carolina State’s WRs has gained 816 yards on 55 receptions (14.8 YPR) this season — T-34th-best among FBS WRs. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed 17.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 3rd-worst among FBS defenses.

North Carolina State’s WRs has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-14th-worst among FBS WRs. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed 12.9 RAC since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among P5 defenses.

North Carolina State RBs had 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams

Virginia Tech has 283 receptions in 17 games (just 16.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 34th-worst among FBS skill players. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.

Virginia Tech has 283 receptions in 17 games (just 16.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among ACC skill players. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech’s WRs has 181 receptions in 17 games (just 10.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among ACC WRs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.

Virginia Tech has 283 receptions in 17 games (just 16.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among ACC skill players. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.

Virginia Tech RBs have been targeted 5 times in short yardage situations this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Virginia Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Virginia Tech has 283 receptions in 17 games (just 16.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 34th-worst among FBS skill players. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.

Virginia Tech has 283 receptions in 17 games (just 16.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among ACC skill players. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech’s WRs has 181 receptions in 17 games (just 10.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among ACC WRs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.

Virginia Tech has 283 receptions in 17 games (just 16.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among ACC skill players. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.

Virginia Tech RBs have been targeted 5 times in short yardage situations this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina State TEs had 7 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams

North Carolina State RBs averaged 8.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (816 yards / 94 touches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

North Carolina State’s WRs has gained 816 yards on 55 receptions (14.8 YPR) this season — T-34th-best among FBS WRs. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed 17.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 3rd-worst among FBS defenses.

North Carolina State’s WRs has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-14th-worst among FBS WRs. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed 12.9 RAC since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among P5 defenses.

North Carolina State RBs had 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams

Virginia Tech Defensive Stats & Trends

Virginia Tech has 283 receptions in 17 games (just 16.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 34th-worst among FBS skill players. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.

Virginia Tech has 283 receptions in 17 games (just 16.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among ACC skill players. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech’s WRs has 181 receptions in 17 games (just 10.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among ACC WRs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.

Virginia Tech has 283 receptions in 17 games (just 16.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among ACC skill players. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.

Virginia Tech RBs have been targeted 5 times in short yardage situations this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina State TEs had 7 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams

North Carolina State RBs averaged 8.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (816 yards / 94 touches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

North Carolina State’s WRs has gained 816 yards on 55 receptions (14.8 YPR) this season — T-34th-best among FBS WRs. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed 17.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 3rd-worst among FBS defenses.

North Carolina State’s WRs has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-14th-worst among FBS WRs. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed 12.9 RAC since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among P5 defenses.

North Carolina State RBs had 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams


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