Vanderbilt vs Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 14

BetMGM Betting Nov 28, 2025, 10:30 AM

min read

Tennessee Volunteers head coach Josh Heupel looks on during a team practice session ahead of the 2022 Orange Bowl, Tuesday, Dec. 27, 2022, in Miami Shores, Fla. Tennessee will face the Clemson Tigers in the Orange Bowl on Friday, Dec. 30.(AP Photo/Rebecca Blackwell)

(AP Photo/Rebecca Blackwell)

Tennessee is a -3 point favorite vs. Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt vs. Tennessee Total (Over/Under): 65.5 points
TV Channel: ESPN

Vanderbilt (9-2) visit Neyland Stadium to take on Tennessee (8-3) on Nov. 29 in Knoxville, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.

Tennessee is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).

The Vanderbilt vs. Tennessee Over/Under is 65.5 total points.

Bet now on Tennessee vs Vanderbilt & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Vanderbilt vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Vanderbilt	+3 -115	65.5 -110	125
Tennessee	-3 -105	65.5 -110	-150

Vanderbilt vs Tennessee Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this game with 54.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Vanderbilt and Tennessee, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Vanderbilt vs Tennessee Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tennessee will cover the spread with 50.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Tennessee vs Vanderbilt and all games with BetMGM

Get a New Customer Offer

Vanderbilt Best Bets Today

Vanderbilt has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.75 Units / 9% ROI)
Vanderbilt has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
Vanderbilt have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
Vanderbilt has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+4.90 Units / 12% ROI)
Vanderbilt has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)

Tennessee Best Bets Today

Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.05 Units / 59% ROI)
Tennessee have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 61% ROI)
Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 0% ROI)
Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.15 Units / 27% ROI)

Vanderbilt Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Vanderbilt is 9-2 against the spread this college football season (+6.8 Units / 56.2% ROI).

Vanderbilt is 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.45 Units / 9.12% ROI
Vanderbilt is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
Vanderbilt is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tennessee iss 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.6 Units / -13.17% ROI).

Tennessee is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 7.48% ROI
Tennessee is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
Tennessee is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Vanderbilt: Keys to the Game vs. Tennessee

Tennessee’s QBs has thrown for 3,387 passing yards in 11 games (307.9 YPG) this season — 4th-best among FBS teams. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 248.4 passing yards per game this season — 24th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tennessee has gained 3,387 yards on 249 receptions (13.6 YPR) this season — 4th-best among SEC skill players. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among SEC defenses.

Tennessee’s WRs has gained 2,610 yards on 174 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — T-14th-best among FBS WRs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among SEC defenses.

Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 3,387 passing yards in 11 games (307.9 YPG) this season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 248.4 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.

Tennessee has gained 3,387 yards on 249 receptions (13.6 YPR) this season — 15th-best among FBS skill players. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among SEC defenses.

Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 52 attempts (19%) on 3rd and long last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 9%

Vanderbilt has allowed 4.8 touchdowns per interception (19 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) this season– 2nd-worst in the SEC; Average: 1.6

Vanderbilt has allowed a Completion Pct of 68% (231 completions/340 attempts) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 61%

Vanderbilt has allowed 19 TD passes this season– most in the SEC

Vanderbilt has allowed 13 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– most in the SEC

Matchup Notes for Vanderbilt vs. Tennessee

Vanderbilt allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 52 attempts (19%) on 3rd and long last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 9%

Vanderbilt has allowed 4.8 touchdowns per interception (19 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) this season– 2nd-worst in the SEC; Average: 1.6

Vanderbilt has allowed a Completion Pct of 68% (231 completions/340 attempts) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 61%

Vanderbilt has allowed 19 TD passes this season– most in the SEC

Vanderbilt has allowed 13 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– most in the SEC

Vanderbilt Offensive Stats & Trends

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends

Vanderbilt allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 52 attempts (19%) on 3rd and long last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 9%

Vanderbilt has allowed 4.8 touchdowns per interception (19 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) this season– 2nd-worst in the SEC; Average: 1.6

Vanderbilt has allowed a Completion Pct of 68% (231 completions/340 attempts) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 61%

Vanderbilt has allowed 19 TD passes this season– most in the SEC

Vanderbilt has allowed 13 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– most in the SEC

Vanderbilt Defensive Stats & Trends

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends

Vanderbilt allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 52 attempts (19%) on 3rd and long last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 9%

Vanderbilt has allowed 4.8 touchdowns per interception (19 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) this season– 2nd-worst in the SEC; Average: 1.6

Vanderbilt has allowed a Completion Pct of 68% (231 completions/340 attempts) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 61%

Vanderbilt has allowed 19 TD passes this season– most in the SEC

Vanderbilt has allowed 13 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– most in the SEC

Bet now on Tennessee vs Vanderbilt and all games with BetMGM

Get a New Customer Offer

More College Football Betting at BetMGM

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.

Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting