- Texas A&M is a -24.5 point favorite vs. UTSA
- UTSA vs. Texas A&M Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The UTSA (0-0) visit Kyle Field to take on the Texas A&M (0-0) on Aug. 30 in College Station, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Texas A&M is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -24.5 (-105).
The UTSA vs. Texas A&M Over/Under is 56.5 total points.
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UTSA vs. Texas A&M Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UTSA | +24.5 -115 | 56.5 -110 | +1200 |
| Texas A&M | -24.5 -105 | 56.5 -110 | -3000 |
UTSA vs Texas A&M Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas A&M will win this game with 84.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UTSA and Texas A&M, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UTSA vs Texas A&M Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas A&M will cover the spread with 80.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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UTSA Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UTSA have covered the 1H Spread in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- UTSA has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
- UTSA have covered the Spread in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- UTSA has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- UTSA has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.70 Units / 52% ROI)
Texas A&M Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.25 Units / 5% ROI)
UTSA: Keys to the Game vs. Texas A&M
UTSA is 9-2 (.818) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526
UTSA is 10-4 (.714) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .543
UTSA is 4-7 (.364) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .503
UTSA is 7-1 (.875) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .486
Texas A&M: Keys to the Game vs. UTSA
Texas A&M is 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .608
Texas A&M is 4-10 (.267) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– 10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .429
Texas A&M is 15-4 (.750) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .629
Texas A&M was 8-1 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2024 season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .625
Matchup Notes for UTSA vs. Texas A&M
Texas A&M’s TEs gained 521 yards on 34 receptions (15.3 YPR) last season — best among SEC TEs. UTSA’s defense allowed 14.6 Yards Per Reception last season — worst among NonP5 defenses.
Texas A&M’s RBs averaged 9.8 yards after the catch last season — 26th-best among FBS RBs. UTSA’s defense allowed 14.4 RAC last season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas A&M’s TEs gained 521 yards on 34 receptions (15.3 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among P5 TEs. UTSA’s defense allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
UTSA’s offense threw for 3,683 passing yards in 13 games (283.3 YPG) last season — 11th-best among FBS offenses. Texas A&M’s defense allowed 232.2 passing yards per game last season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.
UTSA had 2.1 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-23rd-best among FBS skill players. Texas A&M’s defense allowed 1.5 receiving touchdowns per game last season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.
UTSA’s QBs threw for 3,656 passing yards in 13 games (281.2 YPG) last season — 11th-best among FBS teams. Texas A&M’s defense allowed 232.2 passing yards per game last season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.
UTSA Offensive Stats & Trends
UTSA’s offense threw for 3,683 passing yards in 13 games (283.3 YPG) last season — 11th-best among FBS offenses. Texas A&M’s defense allowed 232.2 passing yards per game last season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.
UTSA had 2.1 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-23rd-best among FBS skill players. Texas A&M’s defense allowed 1.5 receiving touchdowns per game last season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.
UTSA’s QBs threw for 3,656 passing yards in 13 games (281.2 YPG) last season — 11th-best among FBS teams. Texas A&M’s defense allowed 232.2 passing yards per game last season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.
UTSA TEs were targeted 27 times with 4-6 yards to go in the 2024 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
UTSA’s TEs was targeted 143 times last season — 3rd-most among FBS TEs. Texas A&M’s defense allowed 3,018 receiving yards last season — 3rd-most among SEC defenses.
Texas A&M Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas A&M TEs averaged 17.8 yards per reception (71 yards/4 catches) with 4-6 yards to go in the 2024 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 9.7
Texas A&M’s TEs gained 521 yards on 34 receptions (15.3 YPR) last season — best among SEC TEs. UTSA’s defense allowed 14.6 Yards Per Reception last season — worst among NonP5 defenses.
Texas A&M’s RBs averaged 9.8 yards after the catch last season — 26th-best among FBS RBs. UTSA’s defense allowed 14.4 RAC last season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas A&M’s TEs gained 521 yards on 34 receptions (15.3 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among P5 TEs. UTSA’s defense allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas A&M’s TEs had 34 receptions in 13 games (just 2.6 per game) last season — 2nd-worst among SEC TEs. UTSA’s defense allowed just 2.2 receptions per game to TEs last season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.
UTSA Defensive Stats & Trends
UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 106 of 461 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) in the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 18 of 67 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
UTSA has averaged 3.3 sacks per game since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
UTSA allowed 11 TDs in close and late situations in the 2024 season– T-2nd-most in FBS
UTSA has allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (31 completions/82 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
Texas A&M Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas A&M tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 19 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 10%.
Texas A&M has sacked opposing QBs just once on 69 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 13.5
Texas A&M has sacked opposing QBs just once on 69 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 11th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
Texas A&M did not record a sack (40 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.2
Texas A&M allowed a Completion Pct of just 53% (228 completions/427 attempts) in the 2024 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 61%
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