UTSA vs Temple Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

BetMGM Betting Oct 02, 2025, 2:48 PM

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UTSA is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Temple
UTSA vs. Temple Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points
TV Channel: ESPN+

UTSA (2-2) visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on Temple (2-2) on Oct. 4 in Philadelphia, PA. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT.

UTSA is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The UTSA vs. Temple Over/Under is 57.5 total points.

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UTSA vs. Temple Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
UTSA	-6.5 -110	57.5 -110	-235
Temple	+6.5 -110	57.5 -110	190

UTSA vs Temple Prediction:

The winning team model predicts UTSA will win this game with 65.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UTSA and Temple, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

UTSA vs Temple Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UTSA will cover the spread with 64.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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UTSA Best Bets Today

UTSA has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
UTSA has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.56 Units / 40% ROI)
UTSA have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 40% ROI)
UTSA have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
UTSA has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.25 Units / 11% ROI)

Temple Best Bets Today

Temple has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 38% ROI)
Temple has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
Temple have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
Temple have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.59 Units / 31% ROI)
Temple has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.41 Units / 13% ROI)

UTSA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UTSA is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

UTSA is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.9 Units / -5.31% ROI
UTSA is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
UTSA is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

Temple Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Temple iss 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).

Temple is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Temple is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
Temple is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

UTSA: Keys to the Game vs. Temple

UTSA have thrown 3 TDs and no interceptions in the 4th quarter this season– T-18th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2.0

UTSA RBs have picked up first downs on 4 receptions in the 4th quarter this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

UTSA TEs have been targeted 9 times with 4-6 yards to go this season– T-most among FBS Teams

UTSA’s QBs has thrown for 4,456 passing yards in 17 games (262.1 YPG) since the 2024 season — 32nd-best among FBS teams. Temple’s defense has allowed just 186.6 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 19th-best among FBS defenses.

UTSA TEs were targeted 52 times on 3rd down last season– most among FBS Teams

Temple: Keys to the Game vs. UTSA

Temple is 2-11 (.154) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .463

Temple is 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2024 season– T-7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .320

Temple was 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– 9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .314

Temple was 3-9 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .442

Matchup Notes for UTSA vs. Temple