UTSA vs South Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

• South Florida is a -14 point favorite vs. UTSA
• UTSA vs. South Florida Total (Over/Under): 67.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN

UTSA (4-4) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on South Florida (6-2) on Nov. 6 in Tampa, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST.

South Florida is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -14 (-115).

The UTSA vs. South Florida Over/Under is 67.5 total points.

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UTSA vs. South Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

UTSA vs South Florida Prediction:

The winning team model predicts South Florida will win this game with 79.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UTSA and South Florida, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

UTSA vs South Florida Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Florida will cover the spread with 50.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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UTSA Best Bets Today

• UTSA have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 56% ROI)
• UTSA has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
• UTSA has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
• UTSA have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
• UTSA has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.16 Units / 22% ROI)

South Florida Best Bets Today

• South Florida has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+9.50 Units / 8% ROI)
• South Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
• South Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.30 Units / 6% ROI)
• South Florida have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.15 Units / 27% ROI)
• South Florida have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)

UTSA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UTSA is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• UTSA is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -5.67% ROI
• UTSA is 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
• UTSA is 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI

South Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record

South Florida iss 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.8 Units / 31.82% ROI).

• South Florida is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.55 Units / 8.79% ROI
• South Florida is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
• South Florida is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

UTSA: Keys to the Game vs. South Florida

UTSA is 3-6 (.333) when losing at least one fumble since the 2024 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .443

UTSA is 2-6 (.250) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-8th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .434

UTSA was 1-2 (.333) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .460

UTSA is 2-6 (.250) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .475

South Florida: Keys to the Game vs. UTSA

UTSA threw for 4 TDs in the Red Zone last week– most among FBS Offenses

UTSA has gained 1,791 yards on 176 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) this season — T-13th-worst among FBS skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

UTSA’s WRs has gained 1,231 yards on 110 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) this season — T-13th-worst among FBS WRs. South Florida’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-best among NonP5 defenses.

UTSA threw for 5 TDs last week– most among FBS Offenses

UTSA has gained 1,791 yards on 176 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) this season — T-13th-worst among FBS skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-best among NonP5 defenses.

Matchup Notes for UTSA vs. South Florida

UTSA threw for 4 TDs in the Red Zone last week– most among FBS Offenses

UTSA has gained 1,791 yards on 176 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) this season — T-13th-worst among FBS skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

UTSA’s WRs has gained 1,231 yards on 110 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) this season — T-13th-worst among FBS WRs. South Florida’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-best among NonP5 defenses.

UTSA threw for 5 TDs last week– most among FBS Offenses

UTSA has gained 1,791 yards on 176 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) this season — T-13th-worst among FBS skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-best among NonP5 defenses.

UTSA is 3-6 (.333) when losing at least one fumble since the 2024 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .443

UTSA is 2-6 (.250) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-8th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .434

UTSA was 1-2 (.333) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .460

UTSA is 2-6 (.250) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .475

UTSA Offensive Stats & Trends

UTSA is 3-6 (.333) when losing at least one fumble since the 2024 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .443

UTSA is 2-6 (.250) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-8th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .434

UTSA was 1-2 (.333) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .460

UTSA is 2-6 (.250) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .475

South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends

UTSA threw for 4 TDs in the Red Zone last week– most among FBS Offenses

UTSA has gained 1,791 yards on 176 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) this season — T-13th-worst among FBS skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

UTSA’s WRs has gained 1,231 yards on 110 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) this season — T-13th-worst among FBS WRs. South Florida’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-best among NonP5 defenses.

UTSA threw for 5 TDs last week– most among FBS Offenses

UTSA has gained 1,791 yards on 176 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) this season — T-13th-worst among FBS skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-best among NonP5 defenses.

UTSA Defensive Stats & Trends

UTSA is 3-6 (.333) when losing at least one fumble since the 2024 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .443

UTSA is 2-6 (.250) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-8th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .434

UTSA was 1-2 (.333) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .460

UTSA is 2-6 (.250) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .475

South Florida Defensive Stats & Trends

UTSA threw for 4 TDs in the Red Zone last week– most among FBS Offenses

UTSA has gained 1,791 yards on 176 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) this season — T-13th-worst among FBS skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

UTSA’s WRs has gained 1,231 yards on 110 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) this season — T-13th-worst among FBS WRs. South Florida’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-best among NonP5 defenses.

UTSA threw for 5 TDs last week– most among FBS Offenses

UTSA has gained 1,791 yards on 176 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) this season — T-13th-worst among FBS skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-best among NonP5 defenses.

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