- UTSA is a -5.5 point favorite vs. Colorado St
- UTSA vs. Colorado State Total (Over/Under): 59.5 points
- TV Channel: FS1
UTSA (1-2) visit Canvas Stadium to take on Colorado State (1-1) on Sep. 20 in Fort Collins, CO. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT.
UTSA is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).
The UTSA vs. Colorado State Over/Under is 59.5 total points.
Bet now on Colorado St vs UTSA & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
UTSA vs. Colorado State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UTSA | -5.5 -105 | 59.5 -110 | -210 |
| Colorado State | +5.5 -115 | 59.5 -110 | 170 |
UTSA vs Colorado State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts UTSA will win this game with 78.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UTSA and Colorado St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UTSA vs Colorado State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UTSA will cover the spread with 66.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Colorado St vs UTSA and all games with BetMGM
UTSA Best Bets Today
- UTSA has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- UTSA have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- UTSA have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- UTSA has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.51 Units / 25% ROI)
- UTSA has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.35 Units / 11% ROI)
Colorado State Best Bets Today
- Colorado State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Colorado State has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- Colorado State has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Colorado State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Colorado State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.15 Units / 8% ROI)
UTSA Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UTSA is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- UTSA is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -12.75% ROI
- UTSA is 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
- UTSA is 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
Colorado State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Colorado St iss 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Colorado State is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Colorado State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Colorado State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
UTSA: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado State
UTSA was 1-2 (.333) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .460
UTSA is 1-4 (.200) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– 12th-worst in FBS; Average: .485
UTSA is 2-5 (.286) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2024 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .420
UTSA is 1-4 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .383
Colorado State: Keys to the Game vs. UTSA
Colorado State was 8-2 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .584
Colorado State was 5-1 (.833) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .604
Colorado State was 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .632
Colorado State is 6-3 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .530
Matchup Notes for UTSA vs. Colorado State
Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 321 passing yards in 2 games (just 160.5 YPG) this season — 22nd-worst among FBS offenses. UTSA’s defense has allowed 300.3 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.
Colorado State’s QBs has thrown for 312 passing yards in 2 games (just 156.0 YPG) this season — 21st-worst among FBS teams. UTSA’s defense has allowed 300.3 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.
Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 321 passing yards in 2 games (just 160.5 YPG) this season — 22nd-worst among FBS offenses. UTSA’s defense has allowed 300.3 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.
UTSA has 390 receptions in 16 games (24.4 per game) since the 2024 season — 11th-best among FBS skill players. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 19.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
UTSA’s TEs has 108 receptions in 16 games (6.8 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-best among FBS TEs. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 19.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
UTSA’s TEs has 108 receptions in 16 games (6.8 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-best among FBS TEs. Colorado State’s defense has allowed just 2.5 receptions per game to TEs since the 2024 season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
UTSA Offensive Stats & Trends
UTSA TEs had 5 receptions in the Red Zone last week– most among FBS Teams
UTSA had 7 receptions in the Red Zone last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Offenses
UTSA Skill Players had 7 receptions in the Red Zone last week– T-most among FBS Teams
UTSA TEs were targeted 5 times in the Red Zone last week– most among FBS Teams
UTSA TEs have 6 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Colorado State Offensive Stats & Trends
Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 321 passing yards in 2 games (just 160.5 YPG) this season — 22nd-worst among FBS offenses. UTSA’s defense has allowed 300.3 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.
Colorado State’s QBs has thrown for 312 passing yards in 2 games (just 156.0 YPG) this season — 21st-worst among FBS teams. UTSA’s defense has allowed 300.3 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.
Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 321 passing yards in 2 games (just 160.5 YPG) this season — 22nd-worst among FBS offenses. UTSA’s defense has allowed 300.3 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Colorado State’s QBs has thrown for 312 passing yards in 2 games (just 156.0 YPG) this season — 21st-worst among FBS teams. UTSA’s defense has allowed 300.3 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Colorado State Skill Players have fumbled 5 times in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-most among FBS Teams
UTSA Defensive Stats & Trends
UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 63 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 63 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 97 of 420 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
UTSA allowed 14.6 yards per completion (3,283 yards/225 completions) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 11.8
UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 31 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.
Colorado State Defensive Stats & Trends
Colorado State has not recorded a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.2
Colorado State has not recorded a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.2
Colorado State did not record a sack (38 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0
Colorado State did not record a sack (38 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.6
Colorado State tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 72 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
Bet now on Colorado St vs UTSA and all games with BetMGM
More College Football Betting at BetMGM
BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
