- Utah St is a -6 point favorite vs. UTEP
- UTEP vs. Utah State Total (Over/Under): 60.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSN
The UTEP (0-0) visit Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium to take on the Utah State (0-0) on Aug. 30 in Logan, UT. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Utah St is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).
The UTEP vs. Utah State Over/Under is 60.5 total points.
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UTEP vs. Utah State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UTEP | +6 -110 | 60.5 -110 | +190 |
| Utah State | -6 -110 | 60.5 -110 | -235 |
UTEP vs Utah State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Utah State will win this game with 59.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UTEP and Utah St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UTEP vs Utah State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UTEP will cover the spread with 54.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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UTEP Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UTEP has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- UTEP have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- UTEP has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- UTEP has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- UTEP have covered the 1Q Spread in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.70 Units / 19% ROI)
Utah State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Utah State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.40 Units / 59% ROI)
- Utah State have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
UTEP: Keys to the Game vs. Utah State
UTEP is 2-18 (.100) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .412
UTEP is 4-17 (.190) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: .480
UTEP is 2-17 (.105) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .384
UTEP is winless (0-12) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .311
Utah State: Keys to the Game vs. UTEP
Utah State was winless (0-6) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .532
Utah State is 2-11 (.154) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: .532
Utah State is 2-10 (.167) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .311
Utah State was 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2024 season– T-9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .386
Matchup Notes for UTEP vs. Utah State
Utah State’s offense averaged 2.4 passing TDs per game last season — T-9th-best among FBS offenses. UTEP’s defense allowed 1.9 passing TDs per game last season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
Utah State’s WRs had 1.8 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-13th-best among FBS WRs. UTEP’s defense allowed 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
Utah State had 2.4 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-8th-best among FBS skill players. UTEP’s defense allowed 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
UTEP’s QBs threw for 2,369 passing yards in 12 games (just 197.4 YPG) last season — 35th-worst among FBS teams. Utah State’s defense allowed 255.6 passing yards per game last season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.
UTEP’s RBs averaged 9.5 yards after the catch last season — T-31st-best among FBS RBs. Utah State’s defense allowed just 6.4 RAC to RBs last season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
UTEP’s WRs had just 0.7 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-23rd-worst among FBS WRs. Utah State’s defense allowed 2.3 receiving touchdowns per game last season — 4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.
UTEP Offensive Stats & Trends
UTEP’s QBs threw for 2,369 passing yards in 12 games (just 197.4 YPG) last season — 35th-worst among FBS teams. Utah State’s defense allowed 255.6 passing yards per game last season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.
UTEP RBs were targeted 9.2 times per game (110/12) in the 2024 season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
UTEP’s RBs averaged 9.5 yards after the catch last season — T-31st-best among FBS RBs. Utah State’s defense allowed just 6.4 RAC to RBs last season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
UTEP RBs picked up first downs on 13 receptions on 3rd down in the 2024 season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams
UTEP Skill Players had no touchdowns on 37 receptions in close and late situations in the 2024 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.5
Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends
Utah State RBs averaged 7.6 Yards per Carry (537 yards/71 carries) in the 4th quarter in the 2024 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
Utah State’s offense averaged 2.4 passing TDs per game last season — T-9th-best among FBS offenses. UTEP’s defense allowed 1.9 passing TDs per game last season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
Utah State RBs have no touchdowns on 4 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 3.2
Utah State WRs were targeted 42 times in short yardage situations in the 2024 season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams
Utah State Skill Players averaged 24.5 receptions per game (294/12) in the 2024 season– 9th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 18.7
UTEP Defensive Stats & Trends
UTEP tackled opponents for a loss on 16 of 77 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
UTEP tackled opponents for a loss on 92 of 501 rushing attempts (18% TFL%) in the 2024 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
UTEP sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (36/350) in the 2024 season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: 7%
UTEP allowed a Completion Pct of just 47% (14 completions/30 attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: 54%
UTEP sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (36/350) in the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Utah State Defensive Stats & Trends
Utah State allowed 20 first down receptions in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Utah State allowed 20 first down receptions in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– most in FBS
Utah State had no interceptions and 19 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.5
Utah State allowed 19 TD passes in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Utah State had no interceptions and 19 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.1
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