Utah vs West Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 5

BetMGM Betting Sep 26, 2025, 10:12 AM

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Utah is a -12.5 point favorite vs. West Virginia
Utah vs. West Virginia Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
TV Channel: FOX

Utah (3-1) visit Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium to take on West Virginia (2-2) on Sep. 27 in Morgantown, WV. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Utah is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-115).

The Utah vs. West Virginia Over/Under is 47.5 total points.

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Utah vs. West Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Utah	-12.5 -115	47.5 -110	-500
West Virginia	+12.5 -105	47.5 -110	375

Utah vs West Virginia Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Utah will win this game with 75.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Utah and West Virginia, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Utah vs West Virginia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts West Virginia will cover the spread with 55.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Utah Best Bets Today

Utah has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.95 Units / 37% ROI)
Utah has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Utah has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.65 Units / 12% ROI)
Utah has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.45 Units / 20% ROI)
Utah has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.25 Units / 6% ROI)

West Virginia Best Bets Today

West Virginia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.97 Units / 51% ROI)
West Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.70 Units / 32% ROI)
West Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 games (+1.45 Units / 4% ROI)
West Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
West Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)

Utah Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Utah is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).

Utah is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.97% ROI
Utah is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Utah is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

West Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

West Virginia iss 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

West Virginia is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 1.8% ROI
West Virginia is 0-4 when betting the Over for -4.4 Units / -100% ROI
West Virginia is 4-0 when betting the Under for +4 Units / 90.91% ROI

Utah: Keys to the Game vs. West Virginia

Utah TEs had 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among Big 12 Teams

Utah WRs had just one touchdown on 7 receptions in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Utah WRs averaged a touchdown every 26.0 receptions (104 Rec/4 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 10.7

Utah TEs caught 6 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams

Utah’s WRs has averaged just 11.6 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — worst among Big 12 WRs. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 13.8 RAC since the 2024 season — worst among Big 12 defenses.

West Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. Utah

West Virginia Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 36.0 receptions (72 Rec/2 TDs) this season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.2

West Virginia WRs have just one touchdown on 43 receptions this season– 9th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.8

West Virginia Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 36.0 receptions (72 Rec/2 TDs) this season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 9.7

West Virginia have averaged a touchdown every 36.0 receptions (72 Rec/2 TDs) this season– 7th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.5

West Virginia WRs have fumbled 4 times this season– most among Big 12 Teams

Matchup Notes for Utah vs. West Virginia