Utah St vs Vanderbilt Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 5

Vanderbilt head coach Clark Lea argues a call in the first half of an NCAA college football game against Florida Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022, in Nashville, Tenn.
(AP Photo/Mark Humphrey)
  • Vanderbilt is a -22.5 point favorite vs. Utah St
  • Utah State vs. Vanderbilt Total (Over/Under): 59.5 points
  • TV Channel: SECN

Utah State (3-1) visit FirstBank Stadium to take on Vanderbilt (4-0) on Sep. 27 in Nashville, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:45pm EDT.

Vanderbilt is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -22.5 (-110).

The Utah State vs. Vanderbilt Over/Under is 59.5 total points.

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Utah State vs. Vanderbilt Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Utah State+22.5 -11059.5 -1051050
Vanderbilt -22.5 -11059.5 -115-2500

Utah State vs Vanderbilt Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Vanderbilt will win this game with 90.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Utah St and Vanderbilt, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Utah State vs Vanderbilt Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Utah State will cover the spread with 70.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Utah State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Utah State have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+18.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+9.25 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.65 Units / 18% ROI)

Utah State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Utah St is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Utah State is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 40% ROI
  • Utah State is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Utah State is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI

Vanderbilt Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Vanderbilt iss 4-0 against the spread this college football season (+4 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Vanderbilt is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 8.21% ROI
  • Vanderbilt is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Vanderbilt is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Utah State: Keys to the Game vs. Vanderbilt

Utah State WRs averaged 28.0 yards per reception (224 yards/8 catches) last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.6

Utah State has gained 926 yards on 66 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — 21st-best among FBS skill players. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-3rd-best among SEC defenses.

Utah State’s WRs has gained 658 yards on 36 receptions (18.3 YPR) this season — 5th-best among FBS WRs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah State TEs averaged 7.8 receptions per game (94/12) last season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.4

Utah State’s WRs has gained 658 yards on 36 receptions (18.3 YPR) this season — 5th-best among FBS WRs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

Vanderbilt: Keys to the Game vs. Utah State

Vanderbilt QBs have 5 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Vanderbilt has 246 receptions in 17 games (just 14.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among SEC skill players. Utah State’s defense has allowed 20.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Vanderbilt rushed for 8 TDs last week– T-most among FBS Offenses

Vanderbilt’s TEs has 19 receptions in 4 games (4.8 per game) this season — 3rd-best among SEC TEs. Utah State’s defense has allowed just 1.5 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.

Vanderbilt rushed for 7 TDs in the Red Zone last week– most among FBS Offenses

Matchup Notes for Utah State vs. Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt QBs have 5 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Vanderbilt has 246 receptions in 17 games (just 14.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among SEC skill players. Utah State’s defense has allowed 20.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Vanderbilt rushed for 8 TDs last week– T-most among FBS Offenses

Vanderbilt’s TEs has 19 receptions in 4 games (4.8 per game) this season — 3rd-best among SEC TEs. Utah State’s defense has allowed just 1.5 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.

Vanderbilt rushed for 7 TDs in the Red Zone last week– most among FBS Offenses

Utah State WRs averaged 28.0 yards per reception (224 yards/8 catches) last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.6

Utah State has gained 926 yards on 66 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — 21st-best among FBS skill players. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-3rd-best among SEC defenses.

Utah State’s WRs has gained 658 yards on 36 receptions (18.3 YPR) this season — 5th-best among FBS WRs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah State TEs averaged 7.8 receptions per game (94/12) last season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.4

Utah State’s WRs has gained 658 yards on 36 receptions (18.3 YPR) this season — 5th-best among FBS WRs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends

Utah State WRs averaged 28.0 yards per reception (224 yards/8 catches) last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.6

Utah State has gained 926 yards on 66 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — 21st-best among FBS skill players. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-3rd-best among SEC defenses.

Utah State’s WRs has gained 658 yards on 36 receptions (18.3 YPR) this season — 5th-best among FBS WRs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah State TEs averaged 7.8 receptions per game (94/12) last season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.4

Utah State’s WRs has gained 658 yards on 36 receptions (18.3 YPR) this season — 5th-best among FBS WRs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

Vanderbilt Offensive Stats & Trends

Vanderbilt QBs have 5 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Vanderbilt has 246 receptions in 17 games (just 14.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among SEC skill players. Utah State’s defense has allowed 20.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Vanderbilt rushed for 8 TDs last week– T-most among FBS Offenses

Vanderbilt’s TEs has 19 receptions in 4 games (4.8 per game) this season — 3rd-best among SEC TEs. Utah State’s defense has allowed just 1.5 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.

Vanderbilt rushed for 7 TDs in the Red Zone last week– most among FBS Offenses

Utah State Defensive Stats & Trends

Utah State WRs averaged 28.0 yards per reception (224 yards/8 catches) last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.6

Utah State has gained 926 yards on 66 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — 21st-best among FBS skill players. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-3rd-best among SEC defenses.

Utah State’s WRs has gained 658 yards on 36 receptions (18.3 YPR) this season — 5th-best among FBS WRs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah State TEs averaged 7.8 receptions per game (94/12) last season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.4

Utah State’s WRs has gained 658 yards on 36 receptions (18.3 YPR) this season — 5th-best among FBS WRs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

Vanderbilt Defensive Stats & Trends

Vanderbilt QBs have 5 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Vanderbilt has 246 receptions in 17 games (just 14.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among SEC skill players. Utah State’s defense has allowed 20.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Vanderbilt rushed for 8 TDs last week– T-most among FBS Offenses

Vanderbilt’s TEs has 19 receptions in 4 games (4.8 per game) this season — 3rd-best among SEC TEs. Utah State’s defense has allowed just 1.5 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.

Vanderbilt rushed for 7 TDs in the Red Zone last week– most among FBS Offenses


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