Utah St vs Texas A&M Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 2

Texas A&M head coach Mike Elko watches his team warm up before the start of an NCAA college football game against Texas on Saturday, Nov. 30, 2024, in College Station, Texas.
(AP Photo/Sam Craft)
  • Texas A&M is a -31.5 point favorite vs. Utah St
  • Utah State vs. Texas A&M Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
  • TV Channel: SECN

Utah State (1-0) visit Kyle Field to take on Texas A&M (1-0) on Sep. 6 in College Station, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:45pm EDT.

Texas A&M is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -31.5 (-105).

The Utah State vs. Texas A&M Over/Under is 54.5 total points.

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Utah State vs. Texas A&M Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Utah State+31.5 -11554.5 -110+3000
Texas A&M -31.5 -10554.5 -110-10000

Utah State vs Texas A&M Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Texas A&M will win this game with 88.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Utah St and Texas A&M, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Utah State vs Texas A&M Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas A&M will cover the spread with 55.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Utah State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Utah State have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 3 away games (+3.20 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.25 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.80 Units / 3% ROI)

Utah State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Utah St is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Utah State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 50% ROI
  • Utah State is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Utah State is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Texas A&M Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas A&M iss 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Texas A&M is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 5% ROI
  • Texas A&M is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Texas A&M is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Utah State: Keys to the Game vs. Texas A&M

Utah State was winless (0-6) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .532

Utah State was 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2024 season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .417

Utah State was 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2024 season– T-9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .386

Utah State was 1-8 (.111) when allowing 22 or more points in the 2024 season– T-12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259

Texas A&M: Keys to the Game vs. Utah State

Texas A&M was 7-1 (.875) when making 7 or more explosive plays in the 2024 season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .656

Texas A&M was 7-1 (.875) when making 7 or more explosive plays in the 2024 season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .627

Texas A&M was 8-1 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2024 season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .625

Texas A&M was 1-5 (.167) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2023 season– T-16th-worst in FBS; Average: .420

Matchup Notes for Utah State vs. Texas A&M

Texas A&M’s WRs has gained 221 yards on 14 receptions (15.8 YPR) this season — T-19th-best among FBS WRs. Utah State’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 28th-best among FBS defenses.

Texas A&M’s WRs has gained 221 yards on 14 receptions (15.8 YPR) this season — T-19th-best among FBS WRs. Utah State’s defense has allowed just 7.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Texas A&M’s WRs has gained 221 yards on 14 receptions (15.8 YPR) this season — T-19th-best among FBS WRs. Utah State’s defense has allowed just 7.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah State’s WRs has gained 69 yards on 8 receptions (just 8.6 YPR) this season — 16th-worst among FBS WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 8.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Utah State’s WRs has gained 69 yards on 8 receptions (just 8.6 YPR) this season — 16th-worst among FBS WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 8.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among SEC defenses.

Utah State’s RBs has rushed for 100 yards on 16 carries (6.2 YPC) this season — T-31st-best among FBS RBs. Texas A&M’s defense have allowed 6.2 YPC this season — worst among SEC defenses.

Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends

Utah State’s WRs has gained 69 yards on 8 receptions (just 8.6 YPR) this season — 16th-worst among FBS WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 8.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Utah State’s WRs has gained 69 yards on 8 receptions (just 8.6 YPR) this season — 16th-worst among FBS WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 8.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among SEC defenses.

Utah State RBs averaged 7.6 Yards per Carry (537 yards/71 carries) in the 4th quarter in the 2024 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Utah State TEs have been targeted 11.2 times per game (145/13) since the 2024 season– T-2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Utah State TEs have been targeted 25 times in short yardage situations since the 2024 season– most among FBS Teams

Texas A&M Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas A&M TEs have averaged 17.8 yards per reception (71 yards/4 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2024 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 9.4

Texas A&M TEs averaged 17.8 yards per reception (71 yards/4 catches) with 4-6 yards to go in the 2024 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 9.7

Texas A&M Skill Players have 8 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Texas A&M WRs have 7 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams

Texas A&M’s WRs has gained 221 yards on 14 receptions (15.8 YPR) this season — T-19th-best among FBS WRs. Utah State’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 28th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah State Defensive Stats & Trends

Utah State allowed 20 first down receptions in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Utah State allowed 19 TD passes in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– most in FBS

Utah State has allowed 20 first down receptions in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Utah State allowed 11 TDs in close and late situations in the 2024 season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Utah State had no interceptions and 19 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.1

Texas A&M Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas A&M has not recorded a sack (40 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 13.7

Texas A&M did not record a sack (40 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.2

Texas A&M has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 3 of their 33 carries (9%) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 2%

Texas A&M tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 19 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

Texas A&M tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 19 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 10%.


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