Utah St vs Fresno St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 13

Fresno State helmet in the first half of an NCAA college football game for the Mountain West championship against Boise State, Saturday, Dec. 1, 2018, in Boise, Idaho. Fresno State won 19-16. (AP Photo/Steve Conner)
(AP Photo/Steve Conner)
  • Fresno St is a -3 point favorite vs. Utah St
  • Utah State vs. Fresno State Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBSN

Utah State (5-5) visit Valley Children's Stadium to take on Fresno State (7-3) on Nov. 22 in Fresno, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EST.

Fresno St is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).

The Utah State vs. Fresno State Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

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Utah State vs. Fresno State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Utah State+3 -11550.5 -110125
Fresno State -3 -10550.5 -110-150

Utah State vs Fresno State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Fresno State will win this game with 54.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Utah St and Fresno St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Utah State vs Fresno State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Fresno State will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Utah State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Utah State have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.70 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+6.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Fresno State have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.50 Units / 22% ROI)

Utah State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Utah St is 7-2 against the spread this college football season (+4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI).

  • Utah State is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Utah State is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • Utah State is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Fresno State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Fresno St iss 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Fresno State is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.55 Units / 51.01% ROI
  • Fresno State is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.65 Units / -23.98% ROI
  • Fresno State is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.61% ROI

Utah State: Keys to the Game vs. Fresno State

Utah State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.9% of 312 attempts this season — T-30th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.4% of attempts this season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Utah State’s offense has thrown for 2,656 passing yards in 10 games (265.6 YPG) this season — 31st-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 163.6 passing yards per game this season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.9% of 312 attempts this season — T-30th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.4% of attempts this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah State’s WRs has gained 1,521 yards on 91 receptions (16.7 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among FBS WRs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah State RBs averaged 13.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (83 yards / 6 touches) on 1st down last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Fresno State: Keys to the Game vs. Utah State

Fresno State allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (8 completions/28 attempts) last week– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

Fresno State has no interceptions and 12 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 8.1

Fresno State has allowed a Completion Pct of 77% (17 completions/22 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 55%

Fresno State allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (8 completions/28 attempts) last week– best in FBS; Average: 62%

Fresno State has allowed 6 rushing TDs on 323 carries (53.8 Carries Per TD) this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.2

Matchup Notes for Utah State vs. Fresno State

Fresno State allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (8 completions/28 attempts) last week– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

Fresno State has no interceptions and 12 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 8.1

Fresno State has allowed a Completion Pct of 77% (17 completions/22 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 55%

Fresno State allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (8 completions/28 attempts) last week– best in FBS; Average: 62%

Fresno State has allowed 6 rushing TDs on 323 carries (53.8 Carries Per TD) this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.2

Utah State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.9% of 312 attempts this season — T-30th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.4% of attempts this season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Utah State’s offense has thrown for 2,656 passing yards in 10 games (265.6 YPG) this season — 31st-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 163.6 passing yards per game this season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.9% of 312 attempts this season — T-30th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.4% of attempts this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah State’s WRs has gained 1,521 yards on 91 receptions (16.7 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among FBS WRs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah State RBs averaged 13.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (83 yards / 6 touches) on 1st down last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends

Utah State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.9% of 312 attempts this season — T-30th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.4% of attempts this season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Utah State’s offense has thrown for 2,656 passing yards in 10 games (265.6 YPG) this season — 31st-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 163.6 passing yards per game this season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.9% of 312 attempts this season — T-30th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.4% of attempts this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah State’s WRs has gained 1,521 yards on 91 receptions (16.7 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among FBS WRs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah State RBs averaged 13.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (83 yards / 6 touches) on 1st down last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends

Fresno State allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (8 completions/28 attempts) last week– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

Fresno State has no interceptions and 12 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 8.1

Fresno State has allowed a Completion Pct of 77% (17 completions/22 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 55%

Fresno State allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (8 completions/28 attempts) last week– best in FBS; Average: 62%

Fresno State has allowed 6 rushing TDs on 323 carries (53.8 Carries Per TD) this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.2

Utah State Defensive Stats & Trends

Utah State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.9% of 312 attempts this season — T-30th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.4% of attempts this season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Utah State’s offense has thrown for 2,656 passing yards in 10 games (265.6 YPG) this season — 31st-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 163.6 passing yards per game this season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.9% of 312 attempts this season — T-30th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.4% of attempts this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah State’s WRs has gained 1,521 yards on 91 receptions (16.7 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among FBS WRs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah State RBs averaged 13.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (83 yards / 6 touches) on 1st down last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends

Fresno State allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (8 completions/28 attempts) last week– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

Fresno State has no interceptions and 12 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 8.1

Fresno State has allowed a Completion Pct of 77% (17 completions/22 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 55%

Fresno State allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (8 completions/28 attempts) last week– best in FBS; Average: 62%

Fresno State has allowed 6 rushing TDs on 323 carries (53.8 Carries Per TD) this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.2


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