USC vs Oregon Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

• Oregon is a -9.5 point favorite vs. USC
• USC vs. Oregon Total (Over/Under): 59.5 points
• TV Channel: CBS | PAR+

USC (8-2) visit Autzen Stadium to take on Oregon (9-1) on Nov. 22 in Eugene, OR. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.

Oregon is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The USC vs. Oregon Over/Under is 59.5 total points.

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USC vs. Oregon Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

USC vs Oregon Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Oregon will win this game with 75.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both USC and Oregon, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

USC vs Oregon Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon will cover the spread with 56.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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USC Best Bets Today

• USC has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 89% ROI)
• USC has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.20 Units / 6% ROI)
• USC have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 28% ROI)
• USC has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
• USC has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 26% ROI)

Oregon Best Bets Today

• Oregon has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.00 Units / 3% ROI)
• Oregon has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 2% ROI)
• Oregon has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.25 Units / 50% ROI)
• Oregon has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+5.05 Units / 8% ROI)
• Oregon have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 29% ROI)

USC Against the Spread (ATS) Record

USC is 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• USC is 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.65 Units / 4.21% ROI
• USC is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
• USC is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Oregon Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oregon iss 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI).

• Oregon is 9-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 2.84% ROI
• Oregon is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
• Oregon is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

USC: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon

USC has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 49 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

USC allowed 4.4 touchdowns per interception (31 TDs allowed, and 7 INT) in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.7

USC did not tackle opponents for a loss on any of 33 rushing attempts last week– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

USC tackled opponents for a loss on just 49 of 403 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) last season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

USC did not tackle opponents for a loss on any of 33 rushing attempts last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Oregon: Keys to the Game vs. USC

USC is 5-2 (.714) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-15th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .486

USC is 8-1 (.889) when rushing more than 30 times this season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .669

USC is 8-1 (.889) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: .617

USC is 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .611

Matchup Notes for USC vs. Oregon

USC is 5-2 (.714) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-15th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .486

USC is 8-1 (.889) when rushing more than 30 times this season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .669

USC is 8-1 (.889) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: .617

USC is 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .611

USC has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 49 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

USC allowed 4.4 touchdowns per interception (31 TDs allowed, and 7 INT) in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.7

USC did not tackle opponents for a loss on any of 33 rushing attempts last week– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

USC tackled opponents for a loss on just 49 of 403 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) last season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

USC did not tackle opponents for a loss on any of 33 rushing attempts last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

USC Offensive Stats & Trends

USC has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 49 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

USC allowed 4.4 touchdowns per interception (31 TDs allowed, and 7 INT) in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.7

USC did not tackle opponents for a loss on any of 33 rushing attempts last week– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

USC tackled opponents for a loss on just 49 of 403 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) last season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

USC did not tackle opponents for a loss on any of 33 rushing attempts last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Oregon Offensive Stats & Trends

USC is 5-2 (.714) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-15th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .486

USC is 8-1 (.889) when rushing more than 30 times this season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .669

USC is 8-1 (.889) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: .617

USC is 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .611

USC Defensive Stats & Trends

USC has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 49 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

USC allowed 4.4 touchdowns per interception (31 TDs allowed, and 7 INT) in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.7

USC did not tackle opponents for a loss on any of 33 rushing attempts last week– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

USC tackled opponents for a loss on just 49 of 403 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) last season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

USC did not tackle opponents for a loss on any of 33 rushing attempts last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Oregon Defensive Stats & Trends

USC is 5-2 (.714) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-15th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .486

USC is 8-1 (.889) when rushing more than 30 times this season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .669

USC is 8-1 (.889) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: .617

USC is 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .611

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