UNLV vs Ohio Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ Frisco Bowl

Footballs sit ready on the field before an NCAA football game on Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in Muncie, Ind. (AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
  • UNLV is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Ohio
  • UNLV vs. Ohio Total (Over/Under): 64.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN

UNLV (10-3) visit Ford Center At The Star to take on Ohio (8-4) on Dec. 23 in Frisco, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST.

UNLV is a betting favorite in the Frisco Bowl, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The UNLV vs. Ohio Over/Under is 64.5 total points.

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UNLV vs. Ohio Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UNLV-6.5 -11064.5 -105-250
Ohio +6.5 -11064.5 -115200

UNLV vs Ohio Prediction:

The winning team model predicts UNLV will win this game with 61.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UNLV and Ohio, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

UNLV vs Ohio Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UNLV will cover the spread with 55.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 67% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • UNLV have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.10 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)

UNLV Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UNLV is 7-6 against the spread this college football season (+0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI).

  • UNLV is 10-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.45 Units / 12.72% ROI
  • UNLV is 6-7 when betting the Over for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI
  • UNLV is 7-6 when betting the Under for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI

Ohio Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ohio iss 6-6 against the spread this college football season (-0.6 Units / -4.53% ROI).

  • Ohio is 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -0.3% ROI
  • Ohio is 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Ohio is 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI

UNLV: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio

UNLV is 5-1 (.833) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .398

UNLV was 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .583

UNLV is 7-2 (.778) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .568

UNLV is 8-2 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .645

Ohio: Keys to the Game vs. UNLV

Ohio’s QBs has thrown for 2,251 passing yards in 12 games (just 187.6 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS teams. UNLV’s defense has allowed 249.3 passing yards per game this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio QBs rushed for 19 TDs last season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams

Ohio’s offense has thrown for 2,251 passing yards in 12 games (just 187.6 YPG) this season — 31st-worst among FBS offenses. UNLV’s defense has allowed 249.3 passing yards per game this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio QBs rushed for 17 TDs in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Ohio have just 187.9 receiving yards per game this season — 31st-worst among FBS skill players. UNLV’s defense has allowed 249.3 receiving yards per game this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Matchup Notes for UNLV vs. Ohio

Ohio’s QBs has thrown for 2,251 passing yards in 12 games (just 187.6 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS teams. UNLV’s defense has allowed 249.3 passing yards per game this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio QBs rushed for 19 TDs last season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams

Ohio’s offense has thrown for 2,251 passing yards in 12 games (just 187.6 YPG) this season — 31st-worst among FBS offenses. UNLV’s defense has allowed 249.3 passing yards per game this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio QBs rushed for 17 TDs in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Ohio have just 187.9 receiving yards per game this season — 31st-worst among FBS skill players. UNLV’s defense has allowed 249.3 receiving yards per game this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

UNLV is 5-1 (.833) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .398

UNLV was 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .583

UNLV is 7-2 (.778) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .568

UNLV is 8-2 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .645

UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends

UNLV is 5-1 (.833) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .398

UNLV was 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .583

UNLV is 7-2 (.778) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .568

UNLV is 8-2 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .645

Ohio Offensive Stats & Trends

Ohio’s QBs has thrown for 2,251 passing yards in 12 games (just 187.6 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS teams. UNLV’s defense has allowed 249.3 passing yards per game this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio QBs rushed for 19 TDs last season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams

Ohio’s offense has thrown for 2,251 passing yards in 12 games (just 187.6 YPG) this season — 31st-worst among FBS offenses. UNLV’s defense has allowed 249.3 passing yards per game this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio QBs rushed for 17 TDs in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Ohio have just 187.9 receiving yards per game this season — 31st-worst among FBS skill players. UNLV’s defense has allowed 249.3 receiving yards per game this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

UNLV Defensive Stats & Trends

UNLV is 5-1 (.833) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .398

UNLV was 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .583

UNLV is 7-2 (.778) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .568

UNLV is 8-2 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .645

Ohio Defensive Stats & Trends

Ohio’s QBs has thrown for 2,251 passing yards in 12 games (just 187.6 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS teams. UNLV’s defense has allowed 249.3 passing yards per game this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio QBs rushed for 19 TDs last season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams

Ohio’s offense has thrown for 2,251 passing yards in 12 games (just 187.6 YPG) this season — 31st-worst among FBS offenses. UNLV’s defense has allowed 249.3 passing yards per game this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio QBs rushed for 17 TDs in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Ohio have just 187.9 receiving yards per game this season — 31st-worst among FBS skill players. UNLV’s defense has allowed 249.3 receiving yards per game this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.


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