UNLV vs Nevada Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 14

Footballs sit ready on the field before an NCAA football game on Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in Muncie, Ind. (AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
  • UNLV is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Nevada
  • UNLV vs. Nevada Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBSN

UNLV (9-2) visit Mackay Stadium to take on Nevada (3-8) on Nov. 29 in Reno, NV. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST.

UNLV is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The UNLV vs. Nevada Over/Under is 53.5 total points.

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UNLV vs. Nevada Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UNLV-7.5 -11553.5 -115-325
Nevada +7.5 -10553.5 -105260

UNLV vs Nevada Prediction:

The winning team model predicts UNLV will win this game with 62.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UNLV and Nevada, key player performances this season and recent team trends.


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  • UNLV has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 66% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • UNLV have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Nevada have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Nevada have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.20 Units / 9% ROI)

UNLV Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UNLV is 6-5 against the spread this college football season (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI).

  • UNLV is 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.45 Units / 13.84% ROI
  • UNLV is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • UNLV is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

Nevada Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Nevada iss 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -4.13% ROI).

  • Nevada is 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -24.73% ROI
  • Nevada is 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
  • Nevada is 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI

UNLV: Keys to the Game vs. Nevada

Nevada sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (14/347) last season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%

Nevada allowed 29 rushing TDs in the Red Zone last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Nevada opponents has averaged 7.2 Passing Attempts per TD (29 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7

Nevada sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (14/347) last season– T-3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Nevada allowed 29 rushing TDs in the Red Zone last season– most in FBS

Nevada: Keys to the Game vs. UNLV

Nevada’s offense has thrown for 1,636 passing yards in 11 games (just 148.7 YPG) this season — 11th-worst among FBS offenses. UNLV’s defense has allowed 254.9 passing yards per game this season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Nevada’s QBs has thrown for 1,636 passing yards in 11 games (just 148.7 YPG) this season — 13th-worst among FBS teams. UNLV’s defense has allowed 254.9 passing yards per game this season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Nevada’s RBs has averaged 10.5 yards after the catch this season — T-17th-best among FBS RBs. UNLV’s defense has allowed 13.0 RAC this season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Nevada RBs averaged 3.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (859 yards / 259 touches) in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Nevada’s WRs have just 84.5 receiving yards per game this season — 8th-worst among FBS WRs. UNLV’s defense has allowed 254.9 receiving yards per game this season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Matchup Notes for UNLV vs. Nevada

Nevada’s offense has thrown for 1,636 passing yards in 11 games (just 148.7 YPG) this season — 11th-worst among FBS offenses. UNLV’s defense has allowed 254.9 passing yards per game this season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Nevada’s QBs has thrown for 1,636 passing yards in 11 games (just 148.7 YPG) this season — 13th-worst among FBS teams. UNLV’s defense has allowed 254.9 passing yards per game this season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Nevada’s RBs has averaged 10.5 yards after the catch this season — T-17th-best among FBS RBs. UNLV’s defense has allowed 13.0 RAC this season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Nevada RBs averaged 3.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (859 yards / 259 touches) in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Nevada’s WRs have just 84.5 receiving yards per game this season — 8th-worst among FBS WRs. UNLV’s defense has allowed 254.9 receiving yards per game this season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Nevada sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (14/347) last season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%

Nevada allowed 29 rushing TDs in the Red Zone last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Nevada opponents has averaged 7.2 Passing Attempts per TD (29 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7

Nevada sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (14/347) last season– T-3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Nevada allowed 29 rushing TDs in the Red Zone last season– most in FBS

UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends

Nevada sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (14/347) last season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%

Nevada allowed 29 rushing TDs in the Red Zone last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Nevada opponents has averaged 7.2 Passing Attempts per TD (29 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7

Nevada sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (14/347) last season– T-3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Nevada allowed 29 rushing TDs in the Red Zone last season– most in FBS

Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends

Nevada’s offense has thrown for 1,636 passing yards in 11 games (just 148.7 YPG) this season — 11th-worst among FBS offenses. UNLV’s defense has allowed 254.9 passing yards per game this season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Nevada’s QBs has thrown for 1,636 passing yards in 11 games (just 148.7 YPG) this season — 13th-worst among FBS teams. UNLV’s defense has allowed 254.9 passing yards per game this season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Nevada’s RBs has averaged 10.5 yards after the catch this season — T-17th-best among FBS RBs. UNLV’s defense has allowed 13.0 RAC this season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Nevada RBs averaged 3.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (859 yards / 259 touches) in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Nevada’s WRs have just 84.5 receiving yards per game this season — 8th-worst among FBS WRs. UNLV’s defense has allowed 254.9 receiving yards per game this season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.

UNLV Defensive Stats & Trends

Nevada sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (14/347) last season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%

Nevada allowed 29 rushing TDs in the Red Zone last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Nevada opponents has averaged 7.2 Passing Attempts per TD (29 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7

Nevada sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (14/347) last season– T-3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Nevada allowed 29 rushing TDs in the Red Zone last season– most in FBS

Nevada Defensive Stats & Trends

Nevada’s offense has thrown for 1,636 passing yards in 11 games (just 148.7 YPG) this season — 11th-worst among FBS offenses. UNLV’s defense has allowed 254.9 passing yards per game this season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Nevada’s QBs has thrown for 1,636 passing yards in 11 games (just 148.7 YPG) this season — 13th-worst among FBS teams. UNLV’s defense has allowed 254.9 passing yards per game this season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Nevada’s RBs has averaged 10.5 yards after the catch this season — T-17th-best among FBS RBs. UNLV’s defense has allowed 13.0 RAC this season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Nevada RBs averaged 3.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (859 yards / 259 touches) in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Nevada’s WRs have just 84.5 receiving yards per game this season — 8th-worst among FBS WRs. UNLV’s defense has allowed 254.9 receiving yards per game this season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.


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